⚽ Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

RB Leipzig face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: RB Leipzig have 3 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, RB Leipzig won 2, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.46

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.13 – 1.24 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	4.3%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
1	7.3%	9.1%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
2	7.8%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.5%	6.9%	4.3%	1.8%	0.5%
4	2.9%	3.7%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

RB Leipzig winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.46, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a RB Leipzig win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.46, 65% model probability, -4.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

RB Leipzig 56%Draw 26%Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%

56%26%18%

56%

RB Leipzig Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

-4.5%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Wins shown from RB Leipzig’s perspective: RB Leipzig 2 · 2 drawn · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-11	RB Leipzig	1 – 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach	W
2025-11-28	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 – 0	RB Leipzig	D
2025-03-29	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1 – 0	RB Leipzig	L
2024-11-09	RB Leipzig	0 – 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach	D
2024-02-17	RB Leipzig	2 – 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach	W

📈 Recent form

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Eintracht Trier. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Bayern München.

WEintracht Trier 0-6 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
LBayern München 3-1 RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs
LLeeds 2-0 RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs
WRB Leipzig 4-0 VerlFriendlies Clubs
WRB Leipzig 1-0 FC Ingolstadt 04Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 21 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at SSVg Velbert. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBorussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
WSSVg Velbert 0-8 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
WHansa Rostock 1-3 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
WRot-Weiß Essen 1-2 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
WWuppertaler SV 0-6 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Leipzig at 56% to win and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 18%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	26%	@ 4.60	+17.4%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win	18%	@ 5.32	-4.0%
RB Leipzig Win	56%	@ 1.53	-13.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.46	-4.5%
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.69	-4.5%
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.17	-5.6%
Under 2.5	35%	@ 2.67	-7.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.46, with 65% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.13 for RB Leipzig and 1.24 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.