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⚽ La Liga

Real Betis vs Osasuna Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Betis vs Osasuna in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Real Betis face Osasuna in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Real Betis have 3 wins from their last 5, while Osasuna have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Real Betis won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Betis win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.8-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Betis vs Osasuna with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.76 – 0.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	6.3%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%
1	11.5%	11.1%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.1%	9.8%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	5.9%	5.7%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Real Betis winDrawOsasuna win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Osasuna comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Betis win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Real Betis 62%Draw 23%Osasuna 15%

62%23%15%

62%

Real Betis Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Real Betis and Osasuna. Wins shown from Real Betis’s perspective: Real Betis 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-12	Osasuna	1 – 1	Real Betis	D
2025-09-28	Real Betis	2 – 0	Osasuna	W
2025-05-11	Real Betis	1 – 1	Osasuna	D
2024-10-19	Osasuna	1 – 2	Real Betis	W
2024-05-05	Osasuna	0 – 2	Real Betis	W

📈 Recent form

Real Betis

Real Betis come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Getafe. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
WReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
WVillarreal 1-2 Real BetisLa Liga
WLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
WReal Betis 1-0 Real MadridLa Liga

Osasuna

Osasuna come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Getafe. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Atlético Madrid.

DOsasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
LAtlético Madrid 4-0 OsasunaLa Liga
LOsasuna 0-2 EspanyolLa Liga
LAlavés 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
WOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Real Betis at 62% to win and Osasuna at 15%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Real Betis win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Betis Win	62%	60%	@ 1.57
Draw	23%	24%	@ 4.00
Osasuna Win	15%	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Betis or Draw at 1.14 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Betis or Draw	84%	84%	@ 1.14
Osasuna or Draw	37%	40%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	71%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	51%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	49%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	29%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	24%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	49%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Real Betis 61%Draw 23%Osasuna 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Our model makes a Real Betis win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline for Real Betis vs Osasuna.

What is the predicted score for Real Betis vs Osasuna?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Real Betis and 0.97 for Osasuna. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Real Betis and Osasuna play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.