⚽ Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Real Salt Lake 3-0 New England Revolution
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution finished 3-0. Real Salt Lake won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.36, landed.
Real Salt Lake face New England Revolution in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Real Salt Lake have no wins from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Real Salt Lake won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.6-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New England Revolution with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution. Wins shown from Real Salt Lake’s perspective: Real Salt Lake 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Real Salt Lake | 3 – 0 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2024-09-01 | Real Salt Lake | 2 – 0 | New England Revolution | W |
📈 Recent form
Real Salt Lake come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to New England Revolution. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Seattle Sounders.
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Real Salt Lake.
- LReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 20 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
- Z. BoothHamstring Injury
- L. De FougerollesInternational duty
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- L. EngelHamstring Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- A. KatranisGroin Injury
- S. LobjanidzeInternational duty
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- I. FeingoldInternational duty
- J. HarrisonLower-Body Injury
- P. MillerInternational duty
- B. RainesInternational duty
- D. TurgemanInternational duty
- A. YusufInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Real Salt Lake at 46% to win and New England Revolution at 32%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake Win | 46% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| New England Revolution Win | 32% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 22% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.36 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 70% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 56% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Real Salt Lake or New England Revolution is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake +1.75 | 90% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 88% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.25 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| New England Revolution +1.75 | 82% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Real Salt Lake +1 | 79% | – | 1.19 |
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 78% | 75% | 1.25 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 75% | 75% | 1.27 |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 73% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 70% | 69% | 1.40 |
| New England Revolution +1 | 67% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 64% | 65% | 1.48 |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 61% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Real Salt Lake 0 | 57% | 59% | 1.63 |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 56% | 56% | 1.72 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.25 | 51% | 51% | 1.90 |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 49% | 49% | 1.96 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.5 | 44% | 44% | 2.15 |
| New England Revolution 0 | 43% | 41% | 2.32 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 39% | 38% | 2.49 |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 36% | 35% | 2.69 |
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 33% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| New England Revolution -0.5 | 30% | 31% | 3.04 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 27% | 27% | 3.52 |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 25% | 25% | 3.77 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.5 | 22% | 25% | 3.80 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.75 | 18% | 20% | 4.80 |
| New England Revolution -1.25 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
| New England Revolution -1.5 | 12% | 16% | 6.00 |
| New England Revolution -1.75 | 10% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Our model's main pick is New England Revolution with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Real Salt Lake and 1.79 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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