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⚽ La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Real Sociedad face Deportivo La Coruña in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Real Sociedad have 3 wins from their last 5, while Deportivo La Coruña have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Sociedad win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.4-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.39 – 1.68 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	7.8%	6.6%	3.7%	1.5%
1	6.5%	10.8%	9.1%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.5%	7.5%	6.3%	3.5%	1.5%
3	2.1%	3.5%	2.9%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Real Sociedad winDrawDeportivo La Coruña win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Sociedad win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Real Sociedad 36%Draw 28%Deportivo La Coruña 36%

36%28%36%

36%

Real Sociedad Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Valencia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Bournemouth.

WValencia 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
LReal Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthUEFA Europa League
LReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético MadridLa Liga
WElche 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga

Deportivo La Coruña

Deportivo La Coruña come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Valencia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Sevilla.

DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
LDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
WDeportivo La Coruña 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Real Sociedad at 36% to win and Deportivo La Coruña at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Real Sociedad win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Sociedad Win	36%	57%	@ 1.67
Deportivo La Coruña Win	36%	18%	@ 5.25
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Sociedad or Draw at 1.18 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Sociedad or Draw	63%	82%	@ 1.18
Deportivo La Coruña or Draw	63%	43%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	76%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	63%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	59%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	41%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	37%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	19%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	39%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Real Sociedad 57%Draw 25%Deportivo La Coruña 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña?

Our model makes a Real Sociedad win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña.

What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Real Sociedad and 1.68 for Deportivo La Coruña. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruña play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.