Rīgas FS

Thu 13 Aug1-2Finished

FK Jablonec

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Rīgas FS 1-2 FK Jablonec

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec finished 1-2. FK Jablonec won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.30, landed.

Rīgas FS face FK Jablonec in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FK Jablonec won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rīgas FS win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 2.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.20 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	4.0%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.3%	8.8%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
2	8.1%	9.7%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	5.9%	7.1%	4.3%	1.7%	0.5%
4	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Rīgas FS winDrawFK Jablonec win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rīgas FS win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Rīgas FS 42%Draw 28%FK Jablonec 30%

42%28%30%

42%

Rīgas FS Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec. Wins shown from Rīgas FS’s perspective: FK Jablonec 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	Rīgas FS	1 – 2	FK Jablonec	L
2026-08-06	FK Jablonec	2 – 0	Rīgas FS	L

📈 Recent form

Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Ogre United. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Riga.

DAuda 1-1 Rīgas FSVirsliga
WBFC Daugavpils 1-2 Rīgas FSVirsliga
DRīgas FS 0-0 FK LiepajaVirsliga
LRīgas FS 2-3 RigaCup
WOgre United 0-3 Rīgas FSVirsliga

FK Jablonec

FK Jablonec come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Baník Ostrava. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Sparta Praha.

DFK Jablonec 1-1 ZlinCzech Liga
LSparta Praha 2-0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
WFK Jablonec 3-0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
LFK Jablonec 1-2 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
LTeplice 2-0 FK JablonecCzech Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rīgas FS at 42% to win and FK Jablonec at 30%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Rīgas FS win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rīgas FS Win	42%	45%	@ 2.02
FK Jablonec Win	30%	26%	@ 3.55
Draw	28%	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rīgas FS or Draw at 1.24 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rīgas FS or Draw	69%	74%	@ 1.24
FK Jablonec or Draw	57%	55%	@ 1.68

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	70%	@ 1.30
Over 2.5	66%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 3.5	56%	74%	@ 1.24
Over 3.5	44%	26%	@ 3.50
Under 2.5	34%	54%	@ 1.68
Under 1.5	15%	30%	@ 3.05

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	52%	@ 1.77
BTTS No	38%	48%	@ 1.90

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Rīgas FS or FK Jablonec is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rīgas FS +1.5	87%	–	1.09
FK Jablonec +1.75	83%	82%	1.16
Rīgas FS +1.25	83%	86%	1.10
FK Jablonec +1.5	80%	75%	1.24
Rīgas FS +1	78%	86%	1.10
FK Jablonec +1.25	74%	72%	1.28
Rīgas FS +0.75	73%	–	1.26
Rīgas FS +0.5	69%	–	1.30
FK Jablonec +1	68%	68%	1.36
FK Jablonec +0.75	63%	60%	1.56
Rīgas FS +0.25	62%	67%	1.38
FK Jablonec +0.5	57%	53%	@ 1.76
Rīgas FS 0	56%	62%	1.49
FK Jablonec +0.25	51%	46%	@ 2.02
Rīgas FS -0.25	49%	54%	1.75
FK Jablonec 0	44%	38%	@ 2.43
Rīgas FS -0.5	43%	47%	1.97
FK Jablonec -0.25	38%	33%	@ 2.87
Rīgas FS -0.75	37%	40%	2.31
Rīgas FS -1	32%	32%	2.94
Rīgas FS -1.25	26%	28%	3.37
FK Jablonec -1	22%	14%	@ 6.80
Rīgas FS -1.5	20%	25%	3.73
FK Jablonec -1.25	17%	14%	@ 6.80
Rīgas FS -1.75	17%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Rīgas FS 46%Draw 27%FK Jablonec 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

Our model makes a Rīgas FS win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Rīgas FS and 1.20 for FK Jablonec. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.