⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: Rīgas FS 1-2 FK Jablonec

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec finished 1-2. FK Jablonec won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.30, landed.

Rīgas FS face FK Jablonec in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FK Jablonec won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rīgas FS win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 2.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

85%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.20 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	4.0%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.3%	8.8%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
2	8.1%	9.7%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	5.9%	7.1%	4.3%	1.7%	0.5%
4	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Rīgas FS winDrawFK Jablonec win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates a Rīgas FS win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (62%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+38.6% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.10, 66% model probability, +38.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Rīgas FS 42%Draw 28%FK Jablonec 30%

42%28%30%

42%

Rīgas FS Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+38.6%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec. Wins shown from Rīgas FS’s perspective: FK Jablonec 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	Rīgas FS	1 – 2	FK Jablonec	L
2026-08-06	FK Jablonec	2 – 0	Rīgas FS	L

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rīgas FS at 42% to win and FK Jablonec at 30%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Rīgas FS win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FK Jablonec Win	30%	3.25	-1.5%
Draw	28%	3.45	-4.2%
Rīgas FS Win	42%	2.04	-14.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Jablonec or Draw at 1.70 (57% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FK Jablonec or Draw	57%	1.70	-2.6%
Rīgas FS or Draw	69%	1.30	-10.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	44%	3.80	+67.8%
Over 2.5	66%	2.10	+38.6%
Over 1.5	85%	1.35	+15.2%
Under 3.5	56%	1.25	-30.2%
Under 2.5	34%	1.70	-42.2%
Under 1.5	15%	3.00	-55.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	62%	1.83	+13.7%
BTTS No	38%	1.80	-31.9%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Rīgas FS or FK Jablonec is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FK Jablonec -1	22%	6.80	+49.3%
FK Jablonec -1.25	17%	6.80	+18.0%
FK Jablonec -0.25	38%	2.87	+8.0%
FK Jablonec 0	44%	2.43	+7.6%
FK Jablonec +0.25	51%	2.02	+2.3%
FK Jablonec +0.5	57%	1.76	+0.8%
FK Jablonec +1.5	80%	1.24	-1.8%
FK Jablonec +0.75	63%	1.56	-2.0%
FK Jablonec +1.75	83%	1.16	-4.0%
FK Jablonec +1.25	74%	1.28	-4.9%
Rīgas FS +1.5	87%	1.09	-4.9%
FK Jablonec +1	68%	1.36	-6.9%
Rīgas FS -1	32%	2.94	-7.3%
Rīgas FS +0.75	73%	1.26	-7.5%
Rīgas FS +1.25	83%	1.10	-9.1%
Rīgas FS -1.75	17%	5.25	-9.3%
Rīgas FS +0.5	69%	1.30	-10.3%
Rīgas FS -1.25	26%	3.37	-12.5%
Rīgas FS -0.75	37%	2.31	-14.0%
Rīgas FS +0.25	62%	1.38	-14.0%
Rīgas FS -0.25	49%	1.75	-14.1%
Rīgas FS +1	78%	1.10	-14.2%
Rīgas FS -0.5	43%	1.97	-15.8%
Rīgas FS 0	56%	1.49	-16.7%
Rīgas FS -1.5	20%	3.73	-23.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 85% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.10 (+38.6% value).

Who is the favourite for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

Our model makes a Rīgas FS win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Rīgas FS and 1.20 for FK Jablonec. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.