⚽ Major League Soccer
San Diego vs Colorado Rapids Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Result: San Diego 3-0 Colorado Rapids
San Diego vs Colorado Rapids finished 3-0. San Diego won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
San Diego face Colorado Rapids in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a San Diego win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 2.1-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Colorado Rapids with a +1.5 start at odds 1.31, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a San Diego win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (75%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
San Diego come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Los Angeles Galaxy. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at home to Philadelphia Union.
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 0-5 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Colorado Rapids come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to CF Montreal. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to St. Louis City.
- DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LColorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
- WColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. AlstrupLower-Body Injury
- K. SargeantLower-Body Injury
- M. DiopKnee Injury
- T. Ku-DiPietroShoulder Injury
- M. NavarroInjury
- Z. SteffenShoulder Injury
- K. Stewart-BaynesLeg Injury
- J. TravisAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices San Diego at 38% to win and Colorado Rapids at 34%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a San Diego win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Win | 38% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Colorado Rapids Win | 34% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is San Diego or Draw at 1.30 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego or Draw | 66% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Colorado Rapids or Draw | 61% | 53% | @ 1.78 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 82% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 41% | 58% | @ 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 8% | 18% | @ 5.30 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 75%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 75% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 25% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when San Diego or Colorado Rapids is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids +2 | 88% | 84% | 1.13 |
| San Diego +1.5 | 85% | – | 1.09 |
| Colorado Rapids +1.75 | 85% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| Colorado Rapids +1.5 | 82% | 72% | @ 1.31 |
| San Diego +1.25 | 80% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Colorado Rapids +1.25 | 77% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| San Diego +1 | 75% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Colorado Rapids +1 | 72% | 65% | @ 1.48 |
| San Diego +0.75 | 70% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Colorado Rapids +0.75 | 66% | 58% | @ 1.66 |
| San Diego +0.5 | 66% | – | 1.31 |
| Colorado Rapids +0.5 | 61% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
| San Diego +0.25 | 59% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Colorado Rapids +0.25 | 54% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| San Diego 0 | 52% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Colorado Rapids 0 | 48% | 36% | @ 2.64 |
| San Diego -0.25 | 46% | 55% | 1.74 |
| Colorado Rapids -0.25 | 41% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| San Diego -0.5 | 39% | 48% | 1.97 |
| San Diego -0.75 | 34% | 42% | 2.26 |
| Colorado Rapids -0.75 | 30% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| San Diego -1 | 28% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Colorado Rapids -1 | 25% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| San Diego -1.25 | 23% | 31% | 3.10 |
| Colorado Rapids -1.25 | 20% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| San Diego -1.5 | 18% | 28% | 3.37 |
| San Diego -1.75 | 15% | 23% | 4.10 |
| San Diego -2 | 12% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?
Our model's main pick is Colorado Rapids with a +1.5 start at odds 1.31, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?
Our model makes a San Diego win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 2.1-2.0 scoreline for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids.
What is the predicted score for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.14 for San Diego and 1.97 for Colorado Rapids. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do San Diego and Colorado Rapids play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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