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⚽ Serie A
Sassuolo vs Torino Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sassuolo vs Torino in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Sassuolo face Torino in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Sassuolo have 1 win from their last 5, while Torino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Torino won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sassuolo win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sassuolo vs Torino with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sassuolo vs Torino is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Sassuolo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.00 (+8.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Sassuolo and Torino. Wins shown from Sassuolo’s perspective: 1 drawn · Torino 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Torino | 2 – 1 | Sassuolo | L |
| 2025-12-21 | Sassuolo | 0 – 1 | Torino | L |
| 2024-02-10 | Sassuolo | 1 – 1 | Torino | D |
| 2023-11-06 | Torino | 2 – 1 | Sassuolo | L |
📈 Recent form
Sassuolo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Cesena. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at FC Augsburg.
- WSassuolo 3-0 CesenaCoppa Italia
- LFC Augsburg 3-2 SassuoloFriendlies Clubs
- LSassuolo 1-4 Celta VigoFriendlies Clubs
- DSassuolo 0-0 Folgore CarateseFriendlies Clubs
- WSassuolo 4-1 PadovaFriendlies Clubs
Torino come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Carrarese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Cittadella.
- WTorino 1-0 CarrareseCoppa Italia
- WBurnley 0-1 TorinoFriendlies Clubs
- LTorino 0-1 CittadellaFriendlies Clubs
- WTorino 1-0 AlcioneFriendlies Clubs
- DTorino 2-2 JuventusSerie A
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sassuolo at 39% to win and Torino at 33%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Sassuolo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino Win | 33% | @ 3.15 | +2.7% |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.35 | -4.2% |
| Sassuolo Win | 39% | @ 2.20 | -14.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Torino or Draw at 1.65 (60% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino or Draw | 60% | @ 1.65 | -0.9% |
| Sassuolo or Draw | 66% | @ 1.35 | -10.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 3.55 | +12.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | @ 2.00 | +8.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.33 | +3.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.28 | -12.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | @ 1.80 | -17.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 3.25 | -27.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | @ 1.77 | +1.5% |
| BTTS No | 43% | @ 2.00 | -14.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Torino?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.00 (+8.0% value).
Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Torino?
Our model makes a Sassuolo win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Torino.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Torino?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Sassuolo and 1.33 for Torino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sassuolo and Torino play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
