Sat 10 Oct13:30Upcoming

⚽ Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

SC Paderborn 07 face VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: SC Paderborn 07 have 1 win from their last 4, while VfB Stuttgart have 1 win from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.8-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.36

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.77 – 1.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	5.0%	4.6%	2.8%	1.3%
1	4.8%	8.8%	8.1%	5.0%	2.3%
2	4.2%	7.8%	7.2%	4.4%	2.0%
3	2.5%	4.6%	4.2%	2.6%	1.2%
4	1.1%	2.0%	1.9%	1.1%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

SC Paderborn 07 winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

📊 Key numbers

SC Paderborn 07 27%Draw 31%VfB Stuttgart 42%

27%31%42%

42%

VfB Stuttgart Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hoffenheim. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Borussia Dortmund.

WDC United 0-1 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
WSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
LBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
LSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
DFSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Borussia Dortmund.

WVfB Stuttgart 5-0 SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs
WVfB Stuttgart 3-0 1. FC HeidenheimFriendlies Clubs
LVfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
LHoffenheim 2-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
WVfB Stuttgart 3-1 VikingUEFA Champions League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

SC Paderborn 07

T. GayretKnee Injury
M. HoffmeierMuscle Injury
N. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
L. EickelBack Injury

VfB Stuttgart

A. Al DakhilKnee Injury
J. DiehlMuscle Injury
L. JaquezMuscle Injury
N. NarteyMuscle Injury
T. TomasMuscle Injury
D. ZagadouMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SC Paderborn 07 at 27% to win and VfB Stuttgart at 42%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
VfB Stuttgart Win	42%	61%	@ 1.57
Draw	31%	20%	@ 4.75
SC Paderborn 07 Win	27%	19%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.18 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
VfB Stuttgart or Draw	71%	81%	@ 1.18
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw	55%	39%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	70%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	51%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	49%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	30%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	12%	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	70%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	30%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

SC Paderborn 07 19%Draw 20%VfB Stuttgart 61%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart.

What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.77 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.84 for VfB Stuttgart. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.