⚽ Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 09 August 2026, 10:15 UTC.
Result: Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord finished 0-1. Feyenoord won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Sparta Rotterdam Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.34, landed.
Sparta Rotterdam face Feyenoord in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 09 August 2026, 10:15 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 1, Feyenoord won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.1-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sparta Rotterdam Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Feyenoord win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord. Wins shown from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective: Sparta Rotterdam 1 · 1 drawn · Feyenoord 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 – 1 | Feyenoord | L |
| 2026-01-18 | Feyenoord | 3 – 4 | Sparta Rotterdam | W |
| 2025-08-31 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 – 4 | Feyenoord | L |
| 2025-02-08 | Feyenoord | 3 – 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | L |
| 2024-08-25 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 1 | Feyenoord | D |
📈 Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.
- LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie
Feyenoord come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at PEC Zwolle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at Barcelona.
- WFeyenoord 5-0 UtrechtEredivisie
- WPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
- LBarcelona 5-1 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
- WNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
- DFeyenoord 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. BaasSuspended (cards)
- T. BeelenBroken Leg
- J. BosKnee Injury
- J. ModerKnee Injury
- B. NieuwkoopInjury
- G. SmalAnkle Injury
- T. WatanabeRibs Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sparta Rotterdam at 16% to win and Feyenoord at 61%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Win | 61% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Sparta Rotterdam Win | 16% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sparta Rotterdam or Draw at 2.23 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam or Draw | 66% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| Feyenoord or Draw | 60% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 82% | @ 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 39% | @ 2.35 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sparta Rotterdam or Feyenoord is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam +2 | 90% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.75 | 87% | 71% | @ 1.34 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 | 85% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.25 | 80% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1 | 75% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.75 | 70% | 48% | @ 2.00 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.5 | 66% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Feyenoord +0.75 | 65% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Feyenoord +0.5 | 60% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 | 60% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 | 53% | 27% | @ 3.58 |
| Feyenoord +0.25 | 53% | 77% | 1.25 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 | 47% | 23% | @ 4.05 |
| Feyenoord 0 | 47% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 | 41% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Feyenoord -0.25 | 40% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.75 | 35% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Feyenoord -0.5 | 34% | 57% | 1.65 |
| Feyenoord -0.75 | 30% | 52% | 1.85 |
| Feyenoord -1 | 25% | 45% | 2.11 |
| Feyenoord -1.25 | 20% | 40% | 2.40 |
| Feyenoord -1.5 | 15% | 35% | 2.69 |
| Feyenoord -1.75 | 13% | 29% | 3.28 |
| Feyenoord -2 | 10% | 22% | 4.25 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord?
Our model's main pick is Sparta Rotterdam Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord?
Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.1 scoreline for Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.09 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.07 for Feyenoord. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord play?
Kick-off is Sunday 09 August 2026, 10:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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