vs
⚽ Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Sparta Rotterdam face Utrecht in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 2, Utrecht won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Utrecht with a +0.75 start at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates an Utrecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Utrecht to win by 0+ goals at odds 2.29 (+16.7% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht. Wins shown from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective: Sparta Rotterdam 2 · 1 drawn · Utrecht 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Utrecht | 0 – 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | W |
| 2025-08-17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 – 1 | Utrecht | W |
| 2025-05-14 | Utrecht | 1 – 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | D |
| 2024-11-03 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 4 | Utrecht | L |
| 2024-05-23 | Utrecht | 3 – 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | L |
📈 Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Telstar. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Feyenoord.
- WTelstar 1-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- LSparta Rotterdam 0-1 FeyenoordEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 0-0 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs
- DSparta Rotterdam 1-1 Asteras TripolisFriendlies Clubs
- LZulte Waregem 3-2 Sparta RotterdamFriendlies Clubs
Utrecht come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to AZ Alkmaar.
- LUtrecht 1-4 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
- LGroningen 2-1 UtrechtEredivisie
- LUtrecht 0-1 SevillaFriendlies Clubs
- LCambuur 1-0 UtrechtFriendlies Clubs
- LUtrecht 0-2 V-varen NagasakiFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
No absentees reported.
- O. AgougilInjury
- A. EngwandaHamstring Injury
- V. JensenKnee Injury
- M. JonathansKnee Injury
- N. OhioKnee Injury
- D. de WitInjury
- J. van OmmerenInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sparta Rotterdam at 28% to win and Utrecht at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht Win | 44% | @ 2.58 | +12.3% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.44 | -3.6% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Win | 28% | @ 2.57 | -27.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Utrecht or Draw at 1.47 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht or Draw | 70% | @ 1.47 | +3.5% |
| Sparta Rotterdam or Draw | 55% | @ 1.47 | -18.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.44 | -2.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.11 | -4.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.22 | -5.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.72 | -6.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 4.27 | -6.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 2.75 | -10.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 42% | @ 2.26 | -4.0% |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | @ 1.56 | -9.9% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sparta Rotterdam or Utrecht is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht -1 | 33% | @ 4.34 | +44.3% |
| Utrecht -0.75 | 39% | @ 3.19 | +24.0% |
| Utrecht -1.25 | 28% | @ 4.50 | +24.0% |
| Utrecht -1.75 | 18% | @ 6.60 | +22.3% |
| Utrecht -0.25 | 51% | @ 2.29 | +16.7% |
| Utrecht -1.5 | 22% | @ 5.25 | +14.8% |
| Utrecht -0.5 | 45% | @ 2.57 | +14.6% |
| Utrecht 0 | 58% | @ 1.90 | +9.6% |
| Utrecht +0.25 | 64% | @ 1.65 | +5.7% |
| Utrecht +0.5 | 70% | @ 1.50 | +5.6% |
| Utrecht +1.5 | 88% | @ 1.16 | +2.3% |
| Utrecht +0.75 | 75% | @ 1.36 | +2.3% |
| Utrecht +1.75 | 90% | @ 1.11 | +0.2% |
| Utrecht +1.25 | 84% | 1.19 | -0.3% |
| Utrecht +1 | 79% | 1.23 | -2.4% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 | 78% | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.75 | 82% | 1.11 | -9.6% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1 | 21% | 4.22 | -12.9% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.25 | 72% | 1.19 | -13.8% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.75 | 61% | 1.35 | -17.3% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.5 | 55% | 1.49 | -17.5% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1 | 67% | 1.22 | -18.6% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 | 36% | 2.26 | -18.7% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 | 42% | 1.89 | -19.8% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 | 49% | 1.64 | -19.8% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.75 | 25% | 3.13 | -21.5% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 | 30% | 2.53 | -25.4% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.25 | 16% | 4.50 | -27.1% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.75 | 10% | 6.60 | -35.7% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.5 | 12% | 5.25 | -38.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Away | 44% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 48% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 42% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.14 for the home side, 1.47 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?
Our main pick is Utrecht with a +0.75 start at odds 1.36, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Utrecht to win by 0+ goals at 2.29 (+16.7% value).
Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?
Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.64 for Utrecht. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.