St. TruidenvsLommel United

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Lommel United Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 08 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Result: St. Truiden 1-1 Lommel United

St. Truiden vs Lommel United finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Lommel United Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.33, landed.

St. Truiden face Lommel United in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 08 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lommel United win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 0.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs Lommel United with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Lommel United Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.33
85%
High AI Confidence
Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.90 – 1.53 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.8% 13.5% 10.3% 5.3% 2.0%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8%
2 3.6% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Projected score: 0-1
St. Truiden winDrawLommel United win

Our prediction for St. Truiden vs Lommel United is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Lommel United Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates a Lommel United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Lommel United or Draw at odds 2.20 (+71.3% model value).

Best value
Lommel United or Draw at odds 2.20, 78% model probability, +71.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

Key numbers

St. Truiden 22%Draw 26%Lommel United 52%
22%26%52%
52%
Lommel United Win
56%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS no
+71.3%
Best value: Lommel United or Draw

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Truiden at 22% to win and Lommel United at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Lommel United win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Lommel United Win 52% 5.25 +173.2%
Draw 26% 3.80 -1.8%
St. Truiden Win 22% 1.62 -64.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lommel United or Draw at 2.20 (78% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Lommel United or Draw 78% 2.20 +71.3%
St. Truiden or Draw 48% 1.15 -44.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Under 1.5 30% 3.70 +11.7%
Under 2.5 56% 1.95 +9.6%
Under 3.5 77% 1.38 +6.6%
Over 1.5 70% 1.25 -12.7%
Over 2.5 44% 1.83 -19.8%
Over 3.5 23% 3.00 -31.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS No 54% 1.91 +2.5%
BTTS Yes 46% 1.77 -17.9%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Truiden or Lommel United is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Lommel United -0.75 31% 6.80 +109.8%
Lommel United 0 49% 4.08 +98.4%
Lommel United -0.25 42% 4.40 +85.7%
Lommel United +0.25 55% 2.85 +56.9%
Lommel United +0.5 62% 2.29 +40.9%
Lommel United +0.75 67% 2.06 +37.3%
Lommel United +1 72% 1.79 +28.3%
Lommel United +1.25 77% 1.59 +22.8%
Lommel United +1.5 82% 1.46 +19.7%
Lommel United +1.75 85% 1.33 +13.0%
Lommel United +2 88% 1.21 +5.8%
St. Truiden +0.75 69% 1.10 -23.9%
St. Truiden +0.5 64% 1.16 -25.8%
St. Truiden +0.25 58% 1.20 -30.7%
St. Truiden 0 51% 1.24 -36.3%
St. Truiden -0.25 45% 1.42 -36.4%
St. Truiden -0.5 38% 1.59 -38.6%
St. Truiden -0.75 33% 1.78 -40.6%
St. Truiden -1 28% 2.02 -43.1%
St. Truiden -2 12% 4.50 -45.1%
St. Truiden -1.25 23% 2.38 -45.3%
St. Truiden -1.75 15% 3.31 -50.2%
St. Truiden -1.5 18% 2.65 -52.7%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

Our main pick is Lommel United Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with 85% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Lommel United or Draw at 2.20 (+71.3% value).

Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

Our model makes a Lommel United win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline for St. Truiden vs Lommel United.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.90 for St. Truiden and 1.53 for Lommel United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Truiden and Lommel United play?

Kick-off is Saturday 08 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.