⚽ UEFA Europa League

St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

St. Truiden face Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.9%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.8%	11.5%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

St. Truiden winDrawOmonia Nicosia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at odds 1.85 (+15.3% model value).

Best value

Omonia Nicosia or Draw at odds 1.85, 62% model probability, +15.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

St. Truiden 18%Draw 66%Omonia Nicosia 16%

18%66%16%

66%

Draw

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+15.3%

Best value: Omonia Nicosia or Draw

📈 Recent form

St. Truiden

St. Truiden come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Liège. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at AEK Athens FC.

DCercle Brugge 3-3 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
DSt. Truiden 1-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
LAEK Athens FC 3-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
LHelmond Sport 1-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
WLiège 0-1 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs

Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Lincoln Red Imps FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Kairat Almaty.

WOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa League
DLincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
LKairat Almaty 1-0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Champions League
WOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League
DKorona Kielce 0-0 Omonia NicosiaFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Truiden at 18% to win and Omonia Nicosia at 16%, with the draw at 66%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	66%	@ 3.60	+136.7%
Omonia Nicosia Win	16%	@ 3.75	-39.1%
St. Truiden Win	18%	@ 1.90	-65.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at 1.85 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Omonia Nicosia or Draw	62%	@ 1.85	+15.3%
St. Truiden or Draw	64%	@ 1.25	-19.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.42	-2.7%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 2.10	-2.9%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.25	-3.3%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.73	-7.0%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.95	-10.7%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 2.80	-11.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.15	-5.1%
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.60	-10.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	49%
GradientBoosting	Draw	80%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.31 for the home side, 1.28 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at 1.85 (+15.3% value).

Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for St. Truiden and 1.17 for Omonia Nicosia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Truiden and Omonia Nicosia play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.