⚽ Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Stade Brestois 29 face Toulouse in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 have 0 wins from their last 5, while Toulouse have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 3, Toulouse won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.42 – 1.44 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	8.2%	5.9%	2.9%	1.0%
1	8.1%	11.7%	8.4%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.3%	6.0%	2.9%	1.0%
3	2.7%	3.9%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Stade Brestois 29 winDrawToulouse win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.95 (+6.2% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.95, 54% model probability, +6.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Stade Brestois 29 37%Draw 29%Toulouse 34%

37%29%34%

37%

Stade Brestois 29 Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

+6.2%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse. Wins shown from Stade Brestois 29’s perspective: Stade Brestois 29 3 · Toulouse 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-25	Stade Brestois 29	0 – 2	Toulouse	L
2025-08-24	Toulouse	2 – 0	Stade Brestois 29	L
2025-03-30	Toulouse	2 – 4	Stade Brestois 29	W
2024-09-22	Stade Brestois 29	2 – 0	Toulouse	W
2024-05-19	Toulouse	0 – 3	Stade Brestois 29	W

📈 Recent form

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Stade Briochin. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Nottingham Forest.

DLe Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
LNottingham Forest 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
DStade Brestois 29 2-2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
WStade Briochin 1-2 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
DStade Brestois 29 3-3 GuingampFriendlies Clubs

Toulouse

Toulouse come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Sociedad. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Lyon.

LToulouse 0-2 LyonLigue 1
LToulouse 1-2 Hamburger SVFriendlies Clubs
WToulouse 2-1 Real SociedadFriendlies Clubs
DToulouse 1-1 RodezFriendlies Clubs
WToulouse 2-1 LyonLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Stade Brestois 29

B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
H. MagnettiMuscle Injury

Toulouse

A. DonnumNot in squad
A. FrancisNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Stade Brestois 29 at 37% to win and Toulouse at 34%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	29%	@ 3.35	-2.6%
Stade Brestois 29 Win	37%	@ 2.60	-3.5%
Toulouse Win	34%	@ 2.60	-12.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Stade Brestois 29 or Draw at 1.48 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Stade Brestois 29 or Draw	65%	@ 1.48	-4.0%
Toulouse or Draw	62%	@ 1.48	-8.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	32%	@ 3.45	+10.9%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.95	+6.2%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.30	+1.3%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.30	-11.8%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 1.83	-16.7%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 3.35	-25.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.73	+0.3%
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.00	-16.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.95 (+6.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?

Our model makes a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse.

What is the predicted score for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.42 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1.44 for Toulouse. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.