Sat 29 Aug3-2Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: SV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen finished 3-2. SV Elversberg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

SV Elversberg face Bayer Leverkusen in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.4-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bayer Leverkusen 0 @ 1.27

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.41 – 1.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	6.7%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
1	4.8%	9.5%	9.3%	6.1%	3.0%
2	3.4%	6.7%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
3	1.6%	3.1%	3.1%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

SV Elversberg winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bayer Leverkusen 0 at odds 1.27, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

SV Elversberg 13%Draw 27%Bayer Leverkusen 59%

13%27%59%

59%

Bayer Leverkusen Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at MSV Duisburg. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Bayern Munich.

DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
WSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WMSV Duisburg 1-3 SV ElversbergDFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Union Berlin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at SV Elversberg.

WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
LSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

SV Elversberg

L. SeifertAnkle Injury
T. ZimmerschiedBack Injury

Bayer Leverkusen

E. Ben SeghirThigh Injury
M. CulbreathInjury
K. EichhornIllness
M. TerrierMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SV Elversberg at 13% to win and Bayer Leverkusen at 59%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen Win	59%	60%	@ 1.56
Draw	27%	22%	@ 4.25
SV Elversberg Win	13%	18%	@ 5.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.15 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw	84%	82%	@ 1.15
SV Elversberg or Draw	38%	40%	@ 2.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	66%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 3.5	56%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	44%	43%	@ 2.18
Under 2.5	34%	36%	@ 2.63
Under 1.5	15%	16%	@ 5.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	35%	39%	@ 2.38

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when SV Elversberg or Bayer Leverkusen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen +0.75	87%	85%	1.12
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5	84%	80%	1.18
Bayer Leverkusen +0.25	78%	78%	1.21
Bayer Leverkusen 0	73%	75%	1.27
SV Elversberg +2	72%	74%	1.28
Bayer Leverkusen -0.25	68%	66%	1.44
SV Elversberg +1.75	67%	67%	1.42
Bayer Leverkusen -0.5	62%	60%	1.57
SV Elversberg +1.5	62%	61%	1.55
Bayer Leverkusen -0.75	56%	55%	1.73
SV Elversberg +1.25	56%	57%	1.68
SV Elversberg +1	50%	51%	1.87
Bayer Leverkusen -1	50%	49%	1.97
SV Elversberg +0.75	44%	45%	2.13
Bayer Leverkusen -1.25	44%	43%	2.23
SV Elversberg +0.5	38%	40%	2.38
Bayer Leverkusen -1.5	38%	39%	2.43
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75	33%	33%	2.91
SV Elversberg +0.25	32%	34%	2.82
Bayer Leverkusen -2	28%	26%	@ 3.69
SV Elversberg 0	27%	25%	@ 3.78
SV Elversberg -0.25	22%	22%	4.25
SV Elversberg -0.5	16%	20%	4.65
SV Elversberg -0.75	14%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

SV Elversberg 19%Draw 21%Bayer Leverkusen 60%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model's main pick is Bayer Leverkusen 0 at odds 1.27, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen.

What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for SV Elversberg and 1.97 for Bayer Leverkusen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.