⚽ Bundesliga

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

SV Elversberg face Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.4-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.48

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.41 – 1.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	6.7%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
1	4.8%	9.5%	9.3%	6.1%	3.0%
2	3.4%	6.7%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
3	1.6%	3.1%	3.1%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

SV Elversberg winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.53, 65% model probability, -0.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

SV Elversberg 13%Draw 27%Bayer Leverkusen 59%

13%27%59%

59%

Bayer Leverkusen Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

-0.5%

Best value: BTTS Yes

📈 Recent form

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Lorient. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WMSV Duisburg 1-3 SV ElversbergDFB Pokal
WSV Elversberg 4-1 LorientFriendlies Clubs
DMallorca 1-1 SV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs
WStrasbourg 2-5 SV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs
WNEC Nijmegen 0-1 SV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at SV Wehen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Nottingham Forest.

WSV Wehen 0-4 Bayer LeverkusenDFB Pokal
WNewcastle 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenFriendlies Clubs
LNottingham Forest 2-1 Bayer LeverkusenFriendlies Clubs
WBayer Leverkusen 2-1 SevillaFriendlies Clubs
WBayer Leverkusen 3-0 Rot-Weiß EssenFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

SV Elversberg

L. SeifertAnkle Injury
T. ZimmerschiedBack Injury

Bayer Leverkusen

E. Ben SeghirThigh Injury
M. CulbreathInjury
K. EichhornIllness
M. TerrierMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SV Elversberg at 13% to win and Bayer Leverkusen at 59%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	27%	@ 4.33	+18.3%
Bayer Leverkusen Win	59%	@ 1.55	-7.9%
SV Elversberg Win	13%	@ 5.10	-32.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.15 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw	84%	@ 1.15	-3.7%
SV Elversberg or Draw	38%	@ 2.38	-10.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.15	-2.2%
Over 2.5	66%	@ 1.48	-2.9%
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.20	-3.8%
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.65	-7.1%
Under 2.5	34%	@ 2.60	-10.6%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 5.25	-21.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	65%	@ 1.53	-0.5%
BTTS No	35%	@ 2.38	-16.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	51%
GradientBoosting	Away	62%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 0.87 for the home side, 1.93 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, with 66% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen.

What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for SV Elversberg and 1.97 for Bayer Leverkusen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.