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⚽ Bundesliga

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

SV Elversberg face FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: SV Elversberg have 2 wins from their last 5, while FC Augsburg have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.9-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.44
70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.86 – 1.74 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.7% 4.8% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0%
1 5.1% 8.8% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8%
3 2.9% 5.1% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Projected score: 1-1
SV Elversberg winDrawFC Augsburg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Augsburg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

📊 Key numbers

SV Elversberg 36%Draw 25%FC Augsburg 39%
36%25%39%
39%
FC Augsburg Win
70%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Borussia Mönchengladbach. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Union Berlin.

  • LUnion Berlin 1-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
  • DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
  • LSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
  • WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
  • WSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Werder Bremen.

  • DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
  • DFC Augsburg 2-2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs
  • LWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
  • DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
  • WEintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SV Elversberg at 36% to win and FC Augsburg at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Augsburg Win 39% 37% @ 2.55
SV Elversberg Win 36% 38% @ 2.45
Draw 25% 25% @ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Augsburg or Draw at 1.53 (65% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Augsburg or Draw 65% 62% @ 1.53
SV Elversberg or Draw 62% 63% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 87% 83% @ 1.14
Over 2.5 70% 66% @ 1.44
Under 3.5 52% 55% @ 1.73
Over 3.5 48% 45% @ 2.10
Under 2.5 30% 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 13% 17% @ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 70% 66% @ 1.40
BTTS No 30% 34% @ 2.75

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our model makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg.

What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.86 for SV Elversberg and 1.74 for FC Augsburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.