vs
⚽ Eredivisie
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Telstar 1-3 Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam finished 1-3. Sparta Rotterdam won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Telstar DC 1X at 1.41, did not land.
Telstar face Sparta Rotterdam in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Telstar won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Telstar win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Telstar DC 1X at odds 1.41, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Telstar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Telstar win at odds 2.24 (+28.2% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam. Wins shown from Telstar’s perspective: Telstar 1 · Sparta Rotterdam 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Telstar | 1 – 3 | Sparta Rotterdam | L |
| 2026-07-11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 0 | Telstar | L |
| 2026-04-22 | Telstar | 4 – 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | W |
| 2025-10-25 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 0 | Telstar | L |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Telstar at 57% to win and Sparta Rotterdam at 22%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Telstar win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar Win | 57% | @ 2.24 | +28.2% |
| Draw | 20% | @ 3.60 | -26.1% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Win | 22% | @ 2.93 | -34.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Telstar or Draw at 1.38 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar or Draw | 79% | @ 1.38 | +9.6% |
| Sparta Rotterdam or Draw | 44% | @ 1.61 | -28.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 63% | @ 1.54 | -2.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | @ 1.18 | -4.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | @ 2.34 | -4.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | @ 1.59 | -5.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | @ 2.44 | -9.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 39% | @ 2.46 | -4.0% |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | @ 1.49 | -9.1% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Telstar or Sparta Rotterdam is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar -1 | 43% | @ 3.36 | +45.9% |
| Telstar -1.75 | 27% | @ 5.25 | +41.0% |
| Telstar -1.25 | 37% | @ 3.69 | +37.7% |
| Telstar -0.75 | 50% | @ 2.64 | +30.8% |
| Telstar -1.5 | 31% | @ 4.00 | +24.6% |
| Telstar -0.5 | 56% | @ 2.21 | +22.9% |
| Telstar -0.25 | 62% | @ 1.97 | +21.3% |
| Telstar 0 | 68% | @ 1.67 | +12.7% |
| Telstar +0.5 | 79% | @ 1.40 | +10.6% |
| Telstar +0.25 | 73% | @ 1.50 | +10.1% |
| Telstar +0.75 | 83% | @ 1.28 | +6.2% |
| Telstar +1.5 | 93% | @ 1.13 | +4.9% |
| Telstar +1.25 | 89% | @ 1.15 | +2.9% |
| Telstar +1 | 86% | @ 1.19 | +2.0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.75 | 73% | 1.16 | -15.1% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 | 69% | 1.23 | -15.3% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.25 | 63% | 1.27 | -20.0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.75 | 50% | 1.50 | -24.6% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1 | 57% | 1.33 | -24.7% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.5 | 44% | 1.64 | -27.5% |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 | 38% | 1.87 | -28.2% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 | 32% | 2.20 | -28.5% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 | 27% | 2.62 | -30.4% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1 | 14% | 4.85 | -32.3% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.75 | 17% | 3.63 | -37.1% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 | 21% | 3.00 | -37.9% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.25 | 11% | 5.50 | -41.9% |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.5 | 7% | 5.90 | -57.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our main pick is Telstar DC 1X at odds 1.41, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Telstar win at 2.24 (+28.2% value).
Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model makes a Telstar win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam.
What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Telstar and 1.31 for Sparta Rotterdam. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam play?
Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
