Tromso

Thu 20 Aug0-0Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Tromso vs Brighton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tromso vs Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Tromso 0-0 Brighton

Tromso vs Brighton finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Tromso face Brighton in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Brighton won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.2-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tromso vs Brighton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.43

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.19 – 0.81 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	11.0%	4.4%	1.2%	0.2%
1	16.1%	13.0%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%
2	9.6%	7.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%
3	3.8%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.1%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Tromso winDrawBrighton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Tromso vs Brighton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Tromso 21%Draw 47%Brighton 32%

21%47%32%

47%

Draw

68%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Tromso and Brighton. Wins shown from Tromso’s perspective: 1 drawn · Brighton 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Brighton	4 – 0	Tromso	L
2026-08-20	Tromso	0 – 0	Brighton	D

📈 Recent form

Tromso

Tromso come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Ham-Kam. Their most recent defeat was 3-5 at Rosenborg.

WTromso 3-2 Ham-KamEliteserien
WAlta 1-2 TromsoNM Cupen
LRosenborg 5-3 TromsoEliteserien
LKristiansund BK 2-0 TromsoEliteserien
DTromso 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien

Brighton

Brighton come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Coventry. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at Chelsea.

WBrighton 3-0 ArsenalPremier League
WManchester United 2-3 BrightonLeague Cup
WCoventry 0-5 BrightonPremier League
DBrighton 1-1 LeedsPremier League
LChelsea 4-3 BrightonPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Tromso at 21% to win and Brighton at 32%, with the draw at 47%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	47%	24%	@ 3.90
Brighton Win	32%	59%	@ 1.56
Tromso Win	21%	18%	@ 5.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brighton or Draw at 1.12 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Brighton or Draw	68%	82%	@ 1.12
Tromso or Draw	58%	41%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	86%	64%	@ 1.43
Under 2.5	68%	44%	@ 2.08
Over 1.5	59%	77%	@ 1.19
Under 1.5	41%	23%	@ 4.00
Over 2.5	32%	56%	@ 1.63
Over 3.5	14%	36%	@ 2.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	61%	45%	@ 2.04
BTTS Yes	39%	55%	@ 1.66

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Tromso or Brighton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Tromso +2	86%	76%	@ 1.24
Tromso +1.75	83%	70%	@ 1.35
Tromso +1.5	80%	63%	@ 1.48
Tromso +1.25	74%	59%	@ 1.60
Brighton +0.75	73%	86%	1.10
Tromso +1	69%	52%	@ 1.81
Brighton +0.5	68%	–	1.15
Tromso +0.75	63%	45%	@ 2.08
Brighton +0.25	62%	80%	1.18
Tromso +0.5	58%	40%	@ 2.33
Brighton 0	55%	77%	1.22
Tromso +0.25	51%	33%	@ 2.87
Brighton -0.25	49%	67%	1.40
Tromso 0	45%	23%	@ 4.15
Brighton -0.5	42%	60%	1.56
Tromso -0.25	38%	20%	@ 4.65
Brighton -0.75	37%	55%	1.74
Brighton -1	31%	48%	1.99
Tromso -0.75	27%	14%	@ 7.00
Brighton -1.25	26%	41%	2.31
Brighton -1.5	20%	37%	2.53
Brighton -1.75	17%	30%	3.11
Brighton -2	14%	24%	3.90

📈 How the market moved

Tromso 18%Draw 23%Brighton 59%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tromso vs Brighton?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Tromso vs Brighton?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.2-0.8 scoreline for Tromso vs Brighton.

What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Brighton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.19 for Tromso and 0.81 for Brighton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tromso and Brighton play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.