Sun 16 Aug3-1Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Twente vs PEC Zwolle Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Twente vs PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Twente 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Twente vs PEC Zwolle finished 3-1. Twente won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Twente face PEC Zwolle in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 12:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Twente won 1, PEC Zwolle won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Twente win the most likely result at 69%, projecting a 2.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Twente vs PEC Zwolle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Twente -0.5 @ 1.26

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.42 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	3.3%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
1	7.2%	7.9%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%
2	8.8%	9.5%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	7.1%	7.7%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
4	4.3%	4.7%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Twente winDrawPEC Zwolle win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Twente vs PEC Zwolle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Twente to win at odds 1.26, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Twente win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 69%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Twente 69%Draw 18%PEC Zwolle 13%

69%18%13%

69%

Twente Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Twente and PEC Zwolle. Wins shown from Twente’s perspective: Twente 1 · 3 drawn · PEC Zwolle 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-16	Twente	3 – 1	PEC Zwolle	W
2026-01-10	Twente	1 – 1	PEC Zwolle	D
2025-08-10	PEC Zwolle	1 – 0	Twente	L
2025-04-13	PEC Zwolle	1 – 1	Twente	D
2024-09-14	Twente	1 – 1	PEC Zwolle	D

📈 Recent form

Twente

Twente come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Cambuur. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
WTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
WCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Groningen.

LGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Twente

M. HilgersKnee Injury
S. LemkinInjury

PEC Zwolle

S. FloranusSuspended (red card)
Y. NamliKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Twente at 69% to win and PEC Zwolle at 13%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Twente win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente Win	69%	77%	@ 1.22
Draw	18%	15%	@ 6.40
PEC Zwolle Win	13%	9%	@ 10.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Twente or Draw at 1.04 (87% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente or Draw	87%	91%	@ 1.04
PEC Zwolle or Draw	32%	23%	@ 4.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	87%	@ 1.08
Over 2.5	68%	71%	@ 1.32
Under 3.5	54%	50%	@ 1.89
Over 3.5	46%	50%	@ 1.87
Under 2.5	32%	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	14%	13%	@ 7.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	39%	45%	@ 2.04

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Twente or PEC Zwolle is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente 0	78%	86%	1.10
Twente -0.25	73%	80%	1.18
Twente -0.5	68%	75%	1.26
PEC Zwolle +2	66%	55%	@ 1.71
Twente -0.75	62%	74%	1.29
PEC Zwolle +1.75	61%	50%	@ 1.94
Twente -1	56%	70%	1.35
PEC Zwolle +1.5	56%	44%	@ 2.15
Twente -1.25	50%	62%	1.53
PEC Zwolle +1.25	50%	38%	@ 2.50
Twente -1.5	44%	56%	1.67
PEC Zwolle +1	44%	30%	@ 3.22
Twente -1.75	39%	50%	1.91
PEC Zwolle +0.75	38%	26%	@ 3.62
Twente -2	34%	45%	2.12
PEC Zwolle +0.5	32%	25%	@ 3.70
PEC Zwolle +0.25	27%	20%	@ 4.80
PEC Zwolle 0	22%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

Twente 76%Draw 15%PEC Zwolle 9%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?

Our model's main pick is Twente to win at odds 1.26, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?

Our model makes a Twente win the most likely result at 69%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.1 scoreline for Twente vs PEC Zwolle.

What is the predicted score for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.42 for Twente and 1.09 for PEC Zwolle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Twente and PEC Zwolle play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.