Sat 22 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Udinese vs Como Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Udinese vs Como in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Udinese 1-1 Como

Udinese vs Como finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Udinese face Como in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Udinese won 1, Como won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Como win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Udinese vs Como with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.35

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.95 – 1.58 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	12.6%	9.9%	5.2%	2.1%
1	7.6%	12.0%	9.4%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.6%	5.7%	4.5%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.1%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Udinese winDrawComo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Udinese vs Como comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Udinese 22%Draw 27%Como 51%

22%27%51%

51%

Como Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Udinese and Como. Wins shown from Udinese’s perspective: Udinese 1 · 2 drawn · Como 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	Udinese	1 – 1	Como	D
2026-04-06	Udinese	0 – 0	Como	D
2026-01-03	Como	1 – 0	Udinese	L
2025-01-20	Como	4 – 1	Udinese	L
2024-09-01	Udinese	1 – 0	Como	W

📈 Recent form

Udinese

Udinese come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Venezia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Cagliari.

LUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
LInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
LUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
WUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
WMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A

Como

Como come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
WNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Udinese

A. BuksaNot in squad
G. ChakvetadzeFoot Injury
C. KabaseleSuspended (red card)
A. ZanoliKnee Injury

Como

J. AddaiAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Udinese at 22% to win and Como at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como Win	51%	52%	@ 1.79
Draw	27%	29%	@ 3.25
Udinese Win	22%	19%	@ 4.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.17 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como or Draw	77%	81%	@ 1.17
Udinese or Draw	48%	48%	@ 1.97

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	76%	@ 1.24
Over 1.5	72%	70%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	54%	56%	@ 1.68
Over 2.5	46%	44%	@ 2.15
Under 1.5	28%	30%	@ 3.10
Over 3.5	25%	24%	@ 3.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	48%	48%	@ 1.94

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Udinese or Como is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como +0.75	80%	84%	1.13
Udinese +2	80%	85%	1.12
Como +0.5	77%	–	1.20
Udinese +1.75	76%	77%	1.23
Udinese +1.5	72%	71%	1.33
Como +0.25	71%	–	1.26
Udinese +1.25	66%	67%	1.42
Como 0	65%	–	1.33
Udinese +1	60%	62%	1.53
Como -0.25	58%	61%	1.58
Udinese +0.75	54%	54%	1.78
Como -0.5	52%	53%	1.80
Udinese +0.5	48%	47%	2.01
Como -0.75	46%	46%	2.06
Udinese +0.25	42%	39%	@ 2.43
Como -1	40%	38%	@ 2.54
Como -1.25	34%	33%	2.92
Como -1.5	28%	29%	3.28
Como -1.75	24%	23%	@ 4.24
Como -2	20%	15%	@ 6.25
Udinese -0.75	20%	16%	@ 5.90

📈 How the market moved

Udinese 20%Draw 27%Como 52%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Udinese vs Como?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Como?

Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Udinese vs Como.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Como?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.95 for Udinese and 1.58 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Udinese and Como play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.