vs
⚽ Serie A
Udinese vs Como Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Udinese vs Como in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Udinese face Como in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Udinese won 1, Como won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Como win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Udinese vs Como with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Udinese vs Como is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Udinese and Como. Wins shown from Udinese’s perspective: Udinese 1 · 1 drawn · Como 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Udinese | 0 – 0 | Como | D |
| 2026-01-03 | Como | 1 – 0 | Udinese | L |
| 2025-01-20 | Como | 4 – 1 | Udinese | L |
| 2024-09-01 | Udinese | 1 – 0 | Como | W |
📈 Recent form
Udinese come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Padova. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Trabzonspor.
- WUdinese 1-0 PadovaCoppa Italia
- WUdinese 1-0 BarcelonaFriendlies Clubs
- WUdinese 1-0 Nottingham ForestFriendlies Clubs
- LTrabzonspor 1-0 UdineseFriendlies Clubs
- DUdinese 3-3 FSV Mainz 05Friendlies Clubs
Como come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Cremonese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Liverpool.
- LLiverpool 2-0 ComoFriendlies Clubs
- DArsenal 1-1 ComoFriendlies Clubs
- WFamalicao 2-3 ComoComo Cup
- WCremonese 1-4 ComoSerie A
- WComo 1-0 ParmaSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. KabaseleSuspended (red card)
- G. ChakvetadzeFoot Injury
- A. ZanoliKnee Injury
- J. AddaiAchilles Tendon Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Udinese at 22% to win and Como at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese Win | 22% | @ 4.58 | +1.4% |
| Como Win | 51% | @ 1.81 | -7.1% |
| Draw | 27% | @ 3.44 | -8.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Udinese or Draw at 1.95 (48% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese or Draw | 48% | @ 1.95 | -7.3% |
| Como or Draw | 77% | @ 1.19 | -8.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | @ 2.16 | +0.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | @ 1.37 | -1.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | @ 3.92 | -2.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 75% | @ 1.25 | -6.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | @ 1.70 | -9.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | @ 3.12 | -12.3% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 48% | @ 1.96 | -5.1% |
| BTTS No | 52% | @ 1.79 | -7.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Udinese or Como is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como -2 | 20% | @ 6.25 | +25.8% |
| Udinese -0.75 | 20% | @ 5.90 | +15.0% |
| Como -1.75 | 24% | @ 4.24 | +2.2% |
| Como -1 | 40% | @ 2.54 | +2.0% |
| Udinese +0.25 | 42% | @ 2.43 | +0.9% |
| Como -1.25 | 34% | 2.92 | -0.3% |
| Udinese +0.5 | 48% | 2.01 | -4.2% |
| Udinese +0.75 | 54% | 1.78 | -4.4% |
| Como -0.75 | 46% | 2.06 | -4.4% |
| Udinese +1.5 | 72% | 1.33 | -4.4% |
| Como -0.5 | 52% | 1.80 | -5.7% |
| Udinese +1.75 | 76% | 1.23 | -6.7% |
| Udinese +1.25 | 66% | 1.42 | -6.9% |
| Como +0.5 | 77% | 1.20 | -7.6% |
| Como -0.25 | 58% | 1.58 | -7.6% |
| Como -1.5 | 28% | 3.28 | -7.6% |
| Udinese +1 | 60% | 1.53 | -8.6% |
| Como +0.75 | 80% | 1.13 | -9.0% |
| Udinese +2 | 80% | 1.12 | -10.5% |
| Como +0.25 | 71% | 1.26 | -10.9% |
| Como 0 | 65% | 1.33 | -14.1% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Away | 48% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 56% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 51% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.01 for the home side, 1.66 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Udinese vs Como?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with 72% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Como?
Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Udinese vs Como.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Como?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.95 for Udinese and 1.58 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Udinese and Como play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.