Sat 10 Oct13:30Upcoming

⚽ Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Union Berlin face SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Union Berlin have no wins from their last 4, while SV Elversberg have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SV Elversberg win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.4-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

SV Elversberg or Draw @ 1.67

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 2.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	6.2%	6.3%	4.3%	2.2%
1	4.4%	9.0%	9.2%	6.3%	3.2%
2	3.2%	6.5%	6.7%	4.5%	2.3%
3	1.5%	3.2%	3.2%	2.2%	1.1%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

Union Berlin winDrawSV Elversberg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is SV Elversberg or Draw at odds 1.67, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a SV Elversberg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Union Berlin 31%Draw 23%SV Elversberg 46%

31%23%46%

46%

SV Elversberg Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Union Berlin

Union Berlin come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Eintracht Braunschweig. Their most recent defeat was 0-7 at Bayern Munich.

LBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
LUnion Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
LBayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
DUnion Berlin 3-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
WEintracht Braunschweig 2-4 Union BerlinDFB Pokal

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at MSV Duisburg. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Bayern Munich.

DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
WSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WMSV Duisburg 1-3 SV ElversbergDFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Union Berlin

M. FriedrichKnock
A. MarkgrafKnee Injury
O. BurkeAchilles Tendon Injury
A. IlicIllness
J. JuranovicAchilles Tendon Injury
S. NsokiMuscle Injury

SV Elversberg

L. SeifertAnkle Injury
L. SchnellbacherInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Union Berlin at 31% to win and SV Elversberg at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a SV Elversberg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SV Elversberg Win	46%	32%	@ 3.00
Union Berlin Win	31%	42%	@ 2.25
Draw	23%	26%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SV Elversberg or Draw at 1.67 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SV Elversberg or Draw	71%	58%	@ 1.67
Union Berlin or Draw	55%	68%	@ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	68%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	54%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	46%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	32%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	14%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	33%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

Union Berlin 42%Draw 26%SV Elversberg 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

Our model's main pick is SV Elversberg or Draw at odds 1.67, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

Our model makes a SV Elversberg win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg.

What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Union Berlin and 2.04 for SV Elversberg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Union Berlin and SV Elversberg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.