⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Union St. Gilloise face Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Union St. Gilloise have 2 wins from their last 5, while Anderlecht have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.9-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.42

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.92 – 1.01 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	5.4%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.3%	10.4%	5.2%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.8%	9.9%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	6.3%	6.4%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
4	3.0%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Union St. Gilloise winDrawAnderlecht win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

Best value

Union St. Gilloise Win at odds 1.70, 58% model probability, -2.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Union St. Gilloise 58%Draw 24%Anderlecht 19%

58%24%19%

58%

Union St. Gilloise Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

-2.2%

Best value: Union St. Gilloise Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht. Wins shown from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective: Union St. Gilloise 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-24	Union St. Gilloise	5 – 1	Anderlecht	W
2026-04-26	Anderlecht	1 – 3	Union St. Gilloise	W
2025-05-10	Anderlecht	0 – 1	Union St. Gilloise	W
2025-04-12	Union St. Gilloise	2 – 0	Anderlecht	W
2025-02-23	Anderlecht	0 – 2	Union St. Gilloise	W

📈 Recent form

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 13. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at KVC Westerlo. Their only defeat in that run was 3-7 at PSV Eindhoven.

DUnion St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
DBodo/Glimt 2-2 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Champions League
WKVC Westerlo 1-5 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
DUnion St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
LPSV Eindhoven 7-3 Union St. GilloiseFriendlies Clubs

Anderlecht

Anderlecht come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Kairat Almaty. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at SK Beveren.

WKairat Almaty 0-3 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
LSK Beveren 1-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
WAnderlecht 3-2 PAOKUEFA Europa League
WAnderlecht 2-1 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
WPAOK 0-1 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Union St. Gilloise at 58% to win and Anderlecht at 19%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Union St. Gilloise Win	58%	@ 1.70	-2.2%
Draw	24%	@ 3.85	-9.4%
Anderlecht Win	19%	@ 4.50	-14.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union St. Gilloise or Draw at 1.18 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Union St. Gilloise or Draw	81%	@ 1.18	-4.8%
Anderlecht or Draw	42%	@ 2.10	-11.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.73	-3.0%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.22	-3.6%
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.80	-5.6%
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.42	-5.9%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.10	-7.8%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.00	-16.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	45%	@ 2.05	-7.0%
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.67	-8.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 66% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht.

What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.92 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.01 for Anderlecht. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.