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⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Union St. Gilloise face OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Union St. Gilloise have 5 wins from their last 5, while OH Leuven have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 78%, projecting a 2.5-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.67

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.50 – 0.59 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
1	11.4%	6.7%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
2	14.2%	8.4%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	11.8%	7.0%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
4	7.4%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%

Projected score: 2-0

Union St. Gilloise winDrawOH Leuven win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 78%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Union St. Gilloise 78%Draw 15%OH Leuven 7%

78%15%

78%

Union St. Gilloise Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven. Wins shown from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective: Union St. Gilloise 3 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-01-19	Union St. Gilloise	1 – 0	OH Leuven	W
2024-11-24	OH Leuven	1 – 1	Union St. Gilloise	D
2024-03-02	OH Leuven	0 – 2	Union St. Gilloise	W
2023-08-12	Union St. Gilloise	5 – 1	OH Leuven	W

📈 Recent form

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Lommel United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
WUnion St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
WCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League

OH Leuven

OH Leuven come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at SK Beveren.

WOH Leuven 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
DOH Leuven 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
LSK Beveren 3-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
LGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
LOH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Union St. Gilloise at 78% to win and OH Leuven at 7%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union St. Gilloise Win	78%	75%	@ 1.22
Draw	15%	16%	@ 5.75
OH Leuven Win	7%	10%	@ 9.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union St. Gilloise or Draw at 1.07 (92% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union St. Gilloise or Draw	92%	90%	@ 1.07
OH Leuven or Draw	22%	25%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-0.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	63%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	60%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	40%	35%	@ 2.70
Over 3.5	37%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	19%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	60%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	40%	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Union St. Gilloise 76%Draw 15%OH Leuven 9%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 78%. It projects an expected 2.5-0.6 scoreline for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven.

What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.50 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.59 for OH Leuven. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.