⚽ Eredivisie

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 10:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Utrecht face PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 10:15 UTC. Recent form: Utrecht have 2 wins from their last 5, while PSV Eindhoven have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 1.4-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.35

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 2.42 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.1%	5.0%	6.1%	4.9%	3.0%
1	3.0%	7.3%	8.9%	7.1%	4.3%
2	2.2%	5.3%	6.4%	5.2%	3.1%
3	1.1%	2.6%	3.1%	2.5%	1.5%
4	0.4%	0.9%	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

Utrecht winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (70%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a PSV Eindhoven win at odds 1.65 (+8.1% model value).

Best value

PSV Eindhoven Win at odds 1.65, 66% model probability, +8.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Utrecht 16%Draw 18%PSV Eindhoven 66%

16%18%66%

66%

PSV Eindhoven Win

74%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS yes

+8.1%

Best value: PSV Eindhoven Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven. Wins shown from Utrecht’s perspective: 2 drawn · PSV Eindhoven 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-04	PSV Eindhoven	4 – 3	Utrecht	L
2025-12-21	Utrecht	1 – 2	PSV Eindhoven	L
2025-02-15	PSV Eindhoven	2 – 2	Utrecht	D
2024-12-01	Utrecht	2 – 5	PSV Eindhoven	L
2024-01-21	Utrecht	1 – 1	PSV Eindhoven	D

📈 Recent form

Utrecht

Utrecht come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to AZ Alkmaar.

DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie
LUtrecht 1-4 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
LGroningen 2-1 UtrechtEredivisie
LUtrecht 0-1 SevillaFriendlies Clubs
LCambuur 1-0 UtrechtFriendlies Clubs

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Groningen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at home to AZ Alkmaar.

WPSV Eindhoven 5-1 GroningenEredivisie
WExcelsior 1-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
DPSV Eindhoven 2-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LPSV Eindhoven 0-4 AZ AlkmaarSuper Cup
WPSV Eindhoven 3-0 FC EindhovenFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Utrecht at 16% to win and PSV Eindhoven at 66%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
PSV Eindhoven Win	66%	@ 1.65	+8.1%
Draw	18%	@ 4.33	-21.6%
Utrecht Win	16%	@ 4.30	-29.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.20 (85% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
PSV Eindhoven or Draw	85%	@ 1.20	+1.9%
Utrecht or Draw	36%	@ 2.20	-21.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	54%	@ 1.90	+2.7%
Over 2.5	74%	@ 1.35	+0.2%
Over 1.5	90%	@ 1.10	-1.2%
Under 3.5	46%	@ 1.85	-15.0%
Under 2.5	26%	@ 3.10	-20.0%
Under 1.5	10%	@ 6.50	-33.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	70%	@ 1.38	-3.5%
BTTS No	30%	@ 2.80	-15.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a PSV Eindhoven win at 1.65 (+8.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.4 scoreline for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven.

What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Utrecht and 2.42 for PSV Eindhoven. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 10:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.