⚽ La Liga
Valencia vs Celta Vigo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Valencia vs Celta Vigo in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Result: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Valencia vs Celta Vigo finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Valencia face Celta Vigo in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Valencia won 1, Celta Vigo won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Valencia win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Valencia vs Celta Vigo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Valencia vs Celta Vigo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Valencia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Valencia and Celta Vigo. Wins shown from Valencia’s perspective: Valencia 1 · 1 drawn · Celta Vigo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Valencia | 0 – 0 | Celta Vigo | D |
| 2026-04-05 | Valencia | 2 – 3 | Celta Vigo | L |
| 2026-01-03 | Celta Vigo | 4 – 1 | Valencia | L |
| 2025-02-02 | Valencia | 2 – 1 | Celta Vigo | W |
| 2024-08-23 | Celta Vigo | 3 – 1 | Valencia | L |
📈 Recent form
Valencia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Alavés. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Real Sociedad.
- LValencia 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
- WAlavés 0-1 ValenciaLa Liga
- LSevilla 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga
- LValencia 0-5 BarcelonaLa Liga
- LDeportivo La Coruña 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga
Celta Vigo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.
- WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
- DCelta Vigo 1-1 MálagaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- S. CanosKnee Injury
- J. CopeteAnkle Injury
- D. FoulquierKnee Injury
- D. LopezKnee Injury
- A. MariLeg Injury
- L. RiojaMuscle Injury
- C. PerezNot in squad
- M. VecinoKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Valencia at 41% to win and Celta Vigo at 32%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Valencia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia Win | 41% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| Celta Vigo Win | 32% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Valencia or Draw at 1.36 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia or Draw | 68% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Celta Vigo or Draw | 59% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 41% | @ 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Valencia or Celta Vigo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia +1.5 | 86% | – | 1.08 |
| Celta Vigo +1.75 | 84% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Valencia +1.25 | 82% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Celta Vigo +1.5 | 80% | 80% | 1.17 |
| Valencia +1 | 77% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Celta Vigo +1.25 | 75% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Valencia +0.75 | 72% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Celta Vigo +1 | 70% | 77% | 1.25 |
| Valencia +0.5 | 68% | 68% | 1.38 |
| Celta Vigo +0.75 | 64% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Valencia +0.25 | 61% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Celta Vigo +0.5 | 59% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Valencia 0 | 55% | 56% | 1.69 |
| Celta Vigo +0.25 | 52% | 54% | 1.78 |
| Valencia -0.25 | 48% | 46% | @ 2.12 |
| Celta Vigo 0 | 45% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Valencia -0.5 | 41% | 40% | 2.35 |
| Celta Vigo -0.25 | 39% | 37% | @ 2.61 |
| Valencia -0.75 | 36% | 32% | @ 2.96 |
| Celta Vigo -0.5 | 32% | 32% | 2.98 |
| Valencia -1 | 30% | 23% | @ 4.08 |
| Celta Vigo -0.75 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.87 |
| Valencia -1.25 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.60 |
| Celta Vigo -1 | 23% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Valencia -1.5 | 20% | 20% | 4.80 |
| Celta Vigo -1.25 | 18% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Valencia -1.75 | 16% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our model makes a Valencia win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Valencia vs Celta Vigo.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Valencia and 1.32 for Celta Vigo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Valencia and Celta Vigo play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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