Vikingur Reykjavik
FC Thun⚽ UEFA Europa League
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Result: Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun finished 3-2. Vikingur Reykjavik won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Vikingur Reykjavik face FC Thun in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Vikingur Reykjavik won 1, FC Thun won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Thun with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun. Wins shown from Vikingur Reykjavik’s perspective: Vikingur Reykjavik 1 · FC Thun 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 3 – 2 | FC Thun | W |
| 2026-08-06 | FC Thun | 3 – 0 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L |
📈 Recent form
Vikingur Reykjavik come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Valur Reykjavik. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Borac Banja Luka.
- WKR Reykjavik 1-2 Vikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild
- DVikingur Reykjavik 2-2 Fram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild
- DKR Reykjavik 1-1 Vikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild
- LBorac Banja Luka 3-1 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Europa Conference
- WVikingur Reykjavik 2-0 Valur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild
FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at FC Vaduz. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Grasshoppers.
- WFC Vaduz 1-2 FC ThunSuper League
- LFC Thun 0-1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- LFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
- DFC Thun 0-0 LausanneSuper League
- WFC St. Gallen 3-4 FC ThunSuper League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Vikingur Reykjavik at 19% to win and FC Thun at 16%, with the draw at 65%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 65% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik Win | 19% | 39% | @ 2.35 |
| FC Thun Win | 16% | 35% | @ 2.63 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Vikingur Reykjavik or Draw at 1.41 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik or Draw | 64% | 65% | @ 1.41 |
| FC Thun or Draw | 62% | 61% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 81% | @ 1.13 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 58% | @ 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 62% | @ 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 42% | @ 2.17 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 19% | @ 4.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 65% | @ 1.42 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 35% | @ 2.60 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Vikingur Reykjavik or FC Thun is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun +2 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik +1.75 | 87% | 85% | 1.12 |
| FC Thun +1.75 | 86% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik +1.5 | 84% | 80% | 1.16 |
| FC Thun +1.5 | 83% | 76% | @ 1.22 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik +1.25 | 80% | 79% | 1.20 |
| FC Thun +1.25 | 78% | – | 1.25 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik +1 | 74% | 77% | 1.23 |
| FC Thun +1 | 72% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik +0.75 | 70% | 70% | 1.34 |
| FC Thun +0.75 | 67% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik +0.5 | 64% | 64% | 1.47 |
| FC Thun +0.5 | 62% | 59% | 1.59 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik +0.25 | 58% | 60% | 1.58 |
| FC Thun +0.25 | 55% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik 0 | 51% | 53% | 1.78 |
| FC Thun 0 | 49% | 47% | 2.02 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik -0.25 | 45% | 46% | 2.04 |
| FC Thun -0.25 | 42% | 40% | 2.35 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik -0.5 | 38% | 41% | 2.29 |
| FC Thun -0.5 | 36% | 36% | 2.60 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik -0.75 | 33% | 35% | 2.69 |
| FC Thun -0.75 | 30% | 30% | 3.15 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik -1 | 28% | 27% | 3.46 |
| FC Thun -1 | 26% | 23% | @ 4.17 |
| FC Thun -1.25 | 20% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik -1.5 | 17% | 24% | 3.95 |
| FC Thun -1.5 | 16% | 20% | 4.70 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik -1.75 | 14% | 19% | 5.00 |
| FC Thun -1.75 | 13% | 15% | 6.25 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik -2 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Our model's main pick is FC Thun with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.
Who is the favourite for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun.
What is the predicted score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Vikingur Reykjavik and 1.17 for FC Thun. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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