Sun 30 Aug2-2Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Willem II vs Heerenveen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Willem II vs Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Willem II 2-2 Heerenveen

Willem II vs Heerenveen finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Willem II face Heerenveen in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.4-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Willem II vs Heerenveen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Willem II +1.75 @ 1.30

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.41 – 1.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	6.8%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
1	4.9%	9.6%	9.3%	6.1%	3.0%
2	3.5%	6.7%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
3	1.6%	3.2%	3.1%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Willem II winDrawHeerenveen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Willem II with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Willem II 23%Draw 28%Heerenveen 50%

23%28%50%

50%

Heerenveen Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Willem II and Heerenveen. Wins shown from Willem II’s perspective: 1 drawn · Heerenveen 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Willem II	2 – 2	Heerenveen	D
2025-04-04	Heerenveen	3 – 1	Willem II	L
2024-12-08	Willem II	1 – 2	Heerenveen	L

📈 Recent form

Willem II

Willem II come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Fortuna Sittard.

LWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
LWillem II 0-3 ExcelsiorEredivisie
DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Sparta Rotterdam. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to AZ Alkmaar.

WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
LHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Willem II

L. AbildgaardNot in squad
A. CulumFoot Injury
T. Didillon HodlHamstring Injury
A. LachkarGroin Injury
J. SchuurmanKnock
T. VilhenaNot in squad
A. ZarroukSurgery

Heerenveen

M. EgbringInjury
M. LindayNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Willem II at 23% to win and Heerenveen at 50%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen Win	50%	53%	@ 1.77
Draw	28%	24%	@ 3.90
Willem II Win	23%	24%	@ 3.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.23 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen or Draw	76%	76%	@ 1.23
Willem II or Draw	49%	47%	@ 1.98

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	65%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 3.5	57%	57%	@ 1.66
Over 3.5	43%	43%	@ 2.17
Under 2.5	35%	36%	@ 2.63
Under 1.5	15%	16%	@ 5.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	65%	@ 1.43
BTTS No	36%	35%	@ 2.60

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Willem II or Heerenveen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Willem II +2	81%	79%	1.20
Heerenveen +0.75	80%	81%	1.17
Willem II +1.75	77%	73%	1.30
Heerenveen +0.5	76%	75%	1.24
Willem II +1.5	73%	67%	@ 1.40
Heerenveen +0.25	70%	73%	1.31
Willem II +1.25	67%	63%	@ 1.50
Heerenveen 0	64%	69%	1.38
Willem II +1	61%	59%	1.62
Heerenveen -0.25	58%	60%	1.58
Willem II +0.75	55%	52%	@ 1.86
Heerenveen -0.5	51%	54%	1.75
Willem II +0.5	49%	46%	2.04
Heerenveen -0.75	45%	48%	1.99
Willem II +0.25	42%	40%	@ 2.41
Heerenveen -1	39%	41%	2.29
Willem II 0	36%	31%	@ 3.10
Heerenveen -1.25	33%	37%	2.60
Willem II -0.25	30%	27%	@ 3.49
Heerenveen -1.5	27%	33%	2.85
Willem II -0.5	24%	25%	3.70
Heerenveen -1.75	23%	27%	3.56
Willem II -0.75	20%	19%	@ 5.00
Heerenveen -2	19%	21%	4.40

📈 How the market moved

Willem II 24%Draw 23%Heerenveen 53%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Our model's main pick is Willem II with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.9 scoreline for Willem II vs Heerenveen.

What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Willem II and 1.95 for Heerenveen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Willem II and Heerenveen play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.