⚽ Eredivisie

Willem II vs Heerenveen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Willem II vs Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Willem II face Heerenveen in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Heerenveen won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.4-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Willem II vs Heerenveen with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Heerenveen or Draw @ 1.25

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.40 – 2.01 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	6.6%	6.7%	4.5%	2.2%
1	4.6%	9.3%	9.3%	6.3%	3.1%
2	3.2%	6.5%	6.5%	4.4%	2.2%
3	1.5%	3.0%	3.1%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.5%	1.1%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

Willem II winDrawHeerenveen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Heerenveen or Draw at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.48, 66% model probability, -2.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Willem II 22%Draw 27%Heerenveen 50%

22%27%50%

50%

Heerenveen Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

-2.0%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Willem II and Heerenveen. Wins shown from Willem II’s perspective: Heerenveen 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-04-04	Heerenveen	3 – 1	Willem II	L
2024-12-08	Willem II	1 – 2	Heerenveen	L

📈 Recent form

Willem II

Willem II come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Almere City FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to NEC Nijmegen.

LWillem II 1-4 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
WWillem II 2-1 Almere City FCEerste Divisie
WRoda 0-1 Willem IIEerste Divisie
WWillem II 1-0 Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie
LWillem II 0-2 De GraafschapEerste Divisie

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Twente. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to PEC Zwolle.

LHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
DAjax 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
WHeerenveen 1-0 TwenteEredivisie
WHeerenveen 3-2 Volos NFCFriendlies Clubs
DHeerenveen 4-4 OH LeuvenFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Willem II at 22% to win and Heerenveen at 50%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	27%	@ 4.10	+12.1%
Heerenveen Win	50%	@ 1.80	-9.2%
Willem II Win	22%	@ 3.70	-17.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.25 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Heerenveen or Draw	76%	@ 1.25	-4.5%
Willem II or Draw	48%	@ 1.95	-6.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	66%	@ 1.48	-2.0%
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.20	-2.4%
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.14	-2.6%
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.65	-8.2%
Under 2.5	34%	@ 2.62	-11.5%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 5.50	-19.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.45	-7.2%
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.55	-8.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Our main pick is Heerenveen or Draw at odds 1.25, with 76% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline for Willem II vs Heerenveen.

What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Willem II and 2.01 for Heerenveen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Willem II and Heerenveen play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.