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⚽ Premier League

Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Arsenal vs Hull City in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Arsenal face Hull City in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Arsenal have 4 wins from their last 5, while Hull City have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Arsenal win the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 1.7-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Arsenal vs Hull City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.62
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.69 – 0.72 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.0% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 15.2% 10.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 12.8% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
3 7.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Arsenal winDrawHull City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Arsenal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Arsenal 67%Draw 19%Hull City 13%
67%19%13%
67%
Arsenal Win
57%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Arsenal

Arsenal come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Everton. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WSlavia Praha 1-2 ArsenalUEFA Champions League
  • WLiverpool 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
  • DFleetwood Town 1-1 ArsenalLeague Cup
  • WArsenal 2-0 EvertonPremier League
  • DBayern Munich 2-2 ArsenalUEFA Champions League
Hull City

Hull City come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Fulham.

  • DHull City 2-2 IpswichPremier League
  • DHull City 1-1 BrentfordPremier League
  • LFulham 1-0 Hull CityPremier League
  • DHull City 2-2 EvertonPremier League
  • LNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Hull City 5-4-1
19Tzolakis
2Coyle
6Ajayi
15Egan
32Mendy
3Giles
10Belloumi
42Iroegbunam
27Slater
21Stroud
9McBurnie
14Gyökeres
10Eze
23Merino
20Madueke
41Rice
36Zubimendi
5Hincapié
6Magalhães
15Konsa
4White
1Raya
Arsenal 4-2-3-1

Hull City

Last starting XI (5-4-1) vs Ipswich, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: S. Jakirović

Bench last match50Cho36Mouzakitis25Crooks18Norton-Cuffy11Gelhardt5Morita22Herrington17McNair12Phillips

Arsenal

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Slavia Praha, 04/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Bench last match17Tzolis39Guimarães12Timber2Saliba8Ødegaard3Mosquera30Meslier49Lewis-Skelly29Havertz56Dowman33Calafiori13Kepa

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Arsenal at 67% to win and Hull City at 13%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes an Arsenal win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Arsenal Win 67% 81% @ 1.17
Draw 19% 13% @ 7.50
Hull City Win 13% 6% @ 15.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arsenal or Draw at 1.03 (87% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Arsenal or Draw 87% 94% @ 1.03
Hull City or Draw 33% 19% @ 5.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 78% 59% @ 1.62
Over 1.5 69% 81% @ 1.17
Under 2.5 57% 36% @ 2.62
Over 2.5 43% 64% @ 1.50
Under 1.5 31% 19% @ 5.00
Over 3.5 22% 41% @ 2.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 58% 59% @ 1.57
BTTS Yes 42% 41% @ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

1%44%87%11/0211/0311/0411/0511/06

Arsenal 82%Draw 12%Hull City 6%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Hull City?

Our model makes an Arsenal win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.7 scoreline for Arsenal vs Hull City.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Hull City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.69 for Arsenal and 0.72 for Hull City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Arsenal and Hull City play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.