⚽ Championship
Blackburn vs Stoke City Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs Stoke City in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Result: Blackburn 1-2 Stoke City
Blackburn vs Stoke City finished 1-2. Stoke City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, landed.
Blackburn face Stoke City in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Blackburn have 3 wins from their last 5, while Stoke City have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 1, Stoke City won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs Stoke City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Blackburn vs Stoke City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (50%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Blackburn and Stoke City. Wins shown from Blackburn’s perspective: Blackburn 1 · 1 drawn · Stoke City 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Blackburn | 1 – 2 | Stoke City | L |
| 2026-04-11 | Stoke City | 1 – 1 | Blackburn | D |
| 2025-03-12 | Stoke City | 1 – 0 | Blackburn | L |
| 2024-11-06 | Blackburn | 0 – 2 | Stoke City | L |
| 2024-02-10 | Blackburn | 3 – 1 | Stoke City | W |
📈 Recent form
Blackburn come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Wrexham. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Stoke City.
- LBlackburn 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
- LSwansea 4-0 BlackburnChampionship
- WBlackburn 2-0 WrexhamChampionship
- LWest Brom 3-2 BlackburnChampionship
- WBristol City 0-1 BlackburnChampionship
Stoke City come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Preston. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Middlesbrough.
- WBlackburn 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
- WStoke City 2-0 PrestonChampionship
- DStoke City 0-0 Bristol CityChampionship
- WDerby 0-1 Stoke CityChampionship
- LStoke City 2-3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. ForshawHip Injury
- M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
- L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
- R. MorishitaInjury
- A. AmpahKnee Injury
- E. BocatInjury
- L. CisseNot in squad
- E. GalbraithSuspended (cards)
- A. CresswellKnee Injury
- S. GallagherInjury
🧩 Line-ups
Stoke City
Coach: M. Robins
Blackburn
Coach: Tony Mowbray
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Blackburn at 45% to win and Stoke City at 25%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Win | 45% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Stoke City Win | 25% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.44 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn or Draw | 73% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
| Stoke City or Draw | 53% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Blackburn or Stoke City is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +1.5 | 90% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Blackburn +1.25 | 85% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Blackburn +1 | 81% | – | 1.20 |
| Blackburn +0.75 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Stoke City +1.5 | 76% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Blackburn +0.5 | 73% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Stoke City +1.25 | 70% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Blackburn +0.25 | 66% | 59% | @ 1.63 |
| Stoke City +1 | 64% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Blackburn 0 | 60% | 50% | @ 1.92 |
| Stoke City +0.75 | 58% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Blackburn -0.25 | 54% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Stoke City +0.5 | 53% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Blackburn -0.5 | 47% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
| Stoke City +0.25 | 46% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Blackburn -0.75 | 42% | 29% | @ 3.29 |
| Stoke City 0 | 40% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Blackburn -1 | 36% | 21% | @ 4.51 |
| Stoke City -0.25 | 34% | 41% | 2.30 |
| Blackburn -1.25 | 30% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Stoke City -0.5 | 27% | 36% | 2.67 |
| Blackburn -1.5 | 24% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Stoke City -0.75 | 23% | 28% | 3.35 |
| Stoke City -1.25 | 15% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Stoke City -1.5 | 10% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Blackburn vs Stoke City.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Blackburn and 1.04 for Stoke City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Blackburn and Stoke City play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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