⚽ UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Result: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis finished 2-1. Borussia Dortmund won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.53, landed.
Borussia Dortmund face Real Betis in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins from their last 3, while Real Betis have 3 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 2.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 62% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Borussia Dortmund come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Betis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WBorussia Dortmund 2-1 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
- WBorussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- WSabah FA 1-2 Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League
Real Betis come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Málaga. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Borussia Dortmund.
- LBorussia Dortmund 2-1 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
- WReal Betis 2-1 MálagaLa Liga
- DCelta Vigo 0-0 Real BetisLa Liga
- WReal Betis 1-0 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
- LReal Betis 2-5 BarcelonaLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- E. CanKnee Injury
- G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
- J. LermaMuscle Injury
- A. FidalgoIllness
- J. FirpoGroin Injury
- C. HernandezCalf Injury
- I. LosadaCoach's decision
🧩 Line-ups
Real Betis
Coach: M. Pellegrini
Borussia Dortmund
Coach: N. Kovač
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Borussia Dortmund at 50% to win and Real Betis at 24%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 50% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Real Betis Win | 24% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.22 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund or Draw | 75% | 76% | @ 1.22 |
| Real Betis or Draw | 49% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Borussia Dortmund or Real Betis is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis +2 | 81% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Borussia Dortmund +0.75 | 79% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Real Betis +1.75 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.31 |
| Borussia Dortmund +0.5 | 75% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Real Betis +1.5 | 73% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Borussia Dortmund +0.25 | 69% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Real Betis +1.25 | 67% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Borussia Dortmund 0 | 63% | 70% | 1.34 |
| Real Betis +1 | 61% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Borussia Dortmund -0.25 | 57% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Real Betis +0.75 | 55% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Borussia Dortmund -0.5 | 51% | 55% | 1.71 |
| Real Betis +0.5 | 49% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Borussia Dortmund -0.75 | 45% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Real Betis +0.25 | 43% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Borussia Dortmund -1 | 39% | 43% | 2.22 |
| Real Betis 0 | 37% | 30% | @ 3.21 |
| Borussia Dortmund -1.25 | 33% | 38% | 2.49 |
| Real Betis -0.25 | 31% | 26% | @ 3.66 |
| Borussia Dortmund -1.5 | 27% | 34% | 2.81 |
| Real Betis -0.5 | 25% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Borussia Dortmund -1.75 | 23% | 28% | 3.40 |
| Real Betis -0.75 | 21% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Borussia Dortmund -2 | 19% | 21% | 4.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 62% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.
Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis?
Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.09 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.10 for Real Betis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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