⚽ Premier League
Brighton vs Brentford Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brighton vs Brentford in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Brighton face Brentford in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Brighton have 4 wins from their last 5, while Brentford have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Brighton won 2, Brentford won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brighton vs Brentford with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Brighton vs Brentford comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Brighton or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brighton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Brighton and Brentford. Wins shown from Brighton’s perspective: Brighton 2 · 2 drawn · Brentford 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Brentford | 0 – 2 | Brighton | W |
| 2025-11-22 | Brighton | 2 – 1 | Brentford | W |
| 2025-04-19 | Brentford | 4 – 2 | Brighton | L |
| 2024-12-27 | Brighton | 0 – 0 | Brentford | D |
| 2024-04-03 | Brentford | 0 – 0 | Brighton | D |
📈 Recent form
Brighton come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Crystal Palace. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Liverpool.
- WManchester City 0-1 BrightonPremier League
- DManchester City 2-2 BrightonLeague Cup
- LLiverpool 2-0 BrightonPremier League
- DFK Jablonec 0-0 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference
- WBrighton 5-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
Brentford come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Nottingham Forest. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Sunderland.
- WBrentford 2-0 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- LSunderland 3-2 BrentfordLeague Cup
- DHull City 1-1 BrentfordPremier League
- LBrentford 1-2 LiverpoolPremier League
- DAston Villa 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Brentford
Coach: Keith Andrews
Brighton
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brighton at 43% to win and Brentford at 31%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Brighton win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton Win | 43% | 50% | @ 1.90 |
| Brentford Win | 31% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brighton or Draw at 1.25 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton or Draw | 69% | 74% | @ 1.25 |
| Brentford or Draw | 57% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Brentford?
Our model's pick is Brighton or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Brentford?
Our model makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline for Brighton vs Brentford.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Brentford?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Brighton and 1.31 for Brentford. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brighton and Brentford play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Obolon'-Brovar
Livyi Bereh
Polessya
Veres Rivne
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Eintracht Braunschweig
Energie Cottbus
Montpellier
Metz
Clermont Foot
RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.