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⚽ Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs FC Dallas Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlotte vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Charlotte face FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Charlotte have 2 wins from their last 5, while FC Dallas have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlotte vs FC Dallas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Charlotte or Draw @ 1.36

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.48 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	6.3%	4.7%	2.3%	0.9%
1	7.2%	10.6%	7.8%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.0%	8.8%	6.5%	3.2%	1.2%
3	3.3%	4.9%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.4%	2.1%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Charlotte winDrawFC Dallas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlotte vs FC Dallas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Charlotte or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charlotte win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Charlotte 40%Draw 27%FC Dallas 33%

40%27%33%

40%

Charlotte Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Charlotte

Charlotte come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at DC United. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Chicago Fire.

LCharlotte 0-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
WCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer

FC Dallas

FC Dallas come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Los Angeles FC.

WFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
WFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
WMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
WFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlotte at 40% to win and FC Dallas at 33%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Charlotte Win	40%	43%	@ 2.15
FC Dallas Win	33%	31%	@ 3.00
Draw	27%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlotte or Draw at 1.36 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Charlotte or Draw	67%	69%	@ 1.36
FC Dallas or Draw	60%	57%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	61%	59%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	61%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	39%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	39%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	18%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	38%	38%	@ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

Charlotte 43%Draw 25%FC Dallas 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlotte vs FC Dallas?

Our model's main pick is Charlotte or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs FC Dallas?

Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline for Charlotte vs FC Dallas.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs FC Dallas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Charlotte and 1.48 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlotte and FC Dallas play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.