⚽ Championship
Charlton vs Bolton Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs Bolton in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Result: Charlton 0-1 Bolton
Charlton vs Bolton finished 0-1. Bolton won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.43, landed.
Charlton face Bolton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have no wins from their last 5, while Bolton have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.3-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs Bolton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Charlton vs Bolton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bolton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Charlton come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Bolton.
- LCharlton 0-1 BoltonChampionship
- LMiddlesbrough 3-0 CharltonChampionship
- LCharlton 1-3 NorwichChampionship
- LWatford 2-0 CharltonChampionship
- DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship
Bolton come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Wolves. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Bristol City.
- WCharlton 0-1 BoltonChampionship
- LBolton 2-3 Bristol CityChampionship
- LBolton 1-5 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- DSouthampton 0-0 BoltonChampionship
- WWolves 1-3 BoltonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. ApterKnee Injury
- C. SichenjeKnee Injury
- M. GoddenMuscle Injury
- E. ErhahonThigh Injury
- R. HardieHamstring Injury
- J. McAteeKnee Injury
- J. NelsonNot in squad
- E. ToalNot in squad
- G. BazunuNot in squad
🧩 Line-ups
Bolton
Coach: S. Schumacher
Charlton
Coach: N. Jones
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Charlton at 32% to win and Bolton at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Win | 38% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Charlton Win | 32% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bolton or Draw at 1.62 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton or Draw | 66% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Charlton or Draw | 60% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlton or Bolton is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton +1.75 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Bolton +1.5 | 86% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Charlton +1.5 | 82% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Bolton +1.25 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Charlton +1.25 | 76% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Bolton +1 | 76% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Charlton +1 | 71% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Bolton +0.75 | 71% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Bolton +0.5 | 66% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Charlton +0.75 | 66% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Charlton +0.5 | 60% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Bolton +0.25 | 60% | 51% | @ 1.89 |
| Charlton +0.25 | 54% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Bolton 0 | 53% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Charlton 0 | 47% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Bolton -0.25 | 46% | 36% | @ 2.69 |
| Charlton -0.25 | 40% | 49% | 1.98 |
| Bolton -0.5 | 40% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| Bolton -0.75 | 34% | 25% | @ 3.79 |
| Charlton -0.5 | 34% | 43% | 2.23 |
| Charlton -0.75 | 29% | 36% | 2.65 |
| Bolton -1 | 29% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Charlton -1 | 24% | 28% | 3.46 |
| Bolton -1.25 | 24% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Charlton -1.25 | 19% | 25% | 3.81 |
| Bolton -1.5 | 18% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Charlton -1.5 | 14% | 23% | 4.15 |
| Charlton -1.75 | 12% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlton vs Bolton?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.
Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Bolton?
Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline for Charlton vs Bolton.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Bolton?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Charlton and 1.57 for Bolton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Charlton and Bolton play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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