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⚽ Championship

Charlton vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Charlton face Sheffield Utd in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have no wins from their last 5, while Sheffield Utd have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 0.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.88 – 1.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	13.8%	10.5%	5.3%	2.0%
1	8.0%	12.1%	9.2%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.5%	5.3%	4.1%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.0%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Charlton winDrawSheffield Utd win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Charlton 18%Draw 24%Sheffield Utd 59%

18%24%59%

59%

Sheffield Utd Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Bolton.

LCharlton 0-1 BoltonChampionship
LMiddlesbrough 3-0 CharltonChampionship
LCharlton 1-3 NorwichChampionship
LWatford 2-0 CharltonChampionship
DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship

Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Preston. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Portsmouth.

WPreston 2-3 Sheffield UtdChampionship
WSheffield Utd 1-0 WrexhamChampionship
DSheffield Utd 1-1 DerbyChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Sheffield Utd 4-4-2

1Cooper

8Choudhury

5Tanganga

25McGuinness

14Burrows

19Chong

42Peck

44Riedewald

11Donovan

9Cannon

22Brereton

23Kelman

7Campbell

9Ahearne-Grant

8Knibbs

6Coventry

15Chalobah

17Bell

12Koumetio

5Jones

20McNamara

25Mannion

Charlton 4-2-3-1

Sheffield Utd

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs Preston, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Chris Wilder

Bench last match33Baptiste23Campbell2Doherty3McCallum30Norrington-Davies38Seriki10Ayew4Arblaster31Betts

Charlton

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Bolton, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: N. Jones

Bench last match19Alli44Bindon14Carey11Leaburn18Mesík13Okonkwo26Rankin-Costello34Skipp24Godden

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlton at 18% to win and Sheffield Utd at 59%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd Win	59%	47%	@ 2.00
Draw	24%	28%	@ 3.40
Charlton Win	18%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.28 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd or Draw	82%	75%	@ 1.28
Charlton or Draw	41%	53%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	69%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	57%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	43%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	31%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	22%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	46%	@ 2.00
BTTS Yes	46%	54%	@ 1.73

📈 How the market moved

Charlton 26%Draw 27%Sheffield Utd 47%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?

Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.88 for Charlton and 1.52 for Sheffield Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlton and Sheffield Utd play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.