⚽ Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Crystal Palace face Liverpool in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Crystal Palace have 1 win from their last 5, while Liverpool have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.3-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 62% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Crystal Palace and Liverpool. Wins shown from Crystal Palace’s perspective: Crystal Palace 2 · 1 drawn · Liverpool 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Liverpool | 3 – 1 | Crystal Palace | L |
| 2025-09-27 | Crystal Palace | 2 – 1 | Liverpool | W |
| 2025-05-25 | Liverpool | 1 – 1 | Crystal Palace | D |
| 2024-10-05 | Crystal Palace | 0 – 1 | Liverpool | L |
| 2024-04-14 | Liverpool | 0 – 1 | Crystal Palace | W |
📈 Recent form
Crystal Palace come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Fulham. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Tottenham.
- LTottenham 2-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
- WFulham 0-1 Crystal PalaceLeague Cup
- LCrystal Palace 0-2 NewcastlePremier League
- DBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League
- LBrighton 5-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
Liverpool come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Brighton. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Fenerbahçe.
- LFenerbahçe 3-2 LiverpoolUEFA Champions League
- LLiverpool 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
- DLiverpool 1-1 ChelseaLeague Cup
- WLiverpool 2-0 BrightonPremier League
- WLiverpool 4-3 VillarrealUEFA Champions League
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Liverpool
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Crystal Palace
Coach: P. Sage
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Crystal Palace at 24% to win and Liverpool at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 48% | 60% | @ 1.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Crystal Palace Win | 24% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Liverpool or Draw at 1.17 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool or Draw | 74% | 82% | @ 1.17 |
| Crystal Palace or Draw | 51% | 40% | @ 2.30 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 62% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.
Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Crystal Palace and 1.93 for Liverpool. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Crystal Palace and Liverpool play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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