Sun 8 Nov15:30Upcoming

⚽ Primeira Liga

Estoril vs Marítimo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Estoril vs Marítimo in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Estoril face Marítimo in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:30 UTC. Recent form: Estoril have no wins from their last 5, while Marítimo have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Estoril win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 2.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Estoril vs Marítimo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.07 – 1.37 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	4.4%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
1	6.6%	9.1%	6.2%	2.8%	1.0%
2	6.9%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.7%	6.5%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
4	2.5%	3.4%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Estoril winDrawMarítimo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Estoril vs Marítimo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Estoril win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Estoril 42%Draw 25%Marítimo 33%

42%25%33%

42%

Estoril Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Estoril

Estoril come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at FC Porto.

LFC Porto 4-0 EstorilPrimeira Liga
LEstoril 1-3 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
DSalgueiros 1-1 EstorilTaça de Portugal
LAcadémico de Viseu 2-1 EstorilPrimeira Liga
LEstoril 1-2 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga

Marítimo

Marítimo come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Alcochetense. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Santa Clara.

LMarítimo 0-2 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
LSporting CP 2-1 MarítimoTaça da Liga
LVitória SC 5-0 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
WAlcochetense 1-2 MarítimoTaça de Portugal
LMarítimo 1-2 FC PortoPrimeira Liga

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Estoril

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Moreirense, 25/10

Coach: Leandro Pires

Bench last match16Turk25Andreou3Medrano35Amissah19Parente15Sierra22Carvalho42Arnolin8Xeka44Robin7Lacximicant17Peixinho

Maritimo

Last starting XI (-) vs Sporting CP, 27/10

G. Tabuaco, Igor Juliao, R. Fernandes, R. Correia, G. Szalai, P. Henrique, S. Bouzaidi, R. Andrade, Raphael Guzzo, M. Bassouamina, M. Boakye

Coach: Mitchell van der Gaag

Bench last match13Pastor30Vieites3Ogbeta15Tavares5Nilton21Alani10Tejon66Ayuma35Limbombe27Bamba17Butzke

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Estoril at 42% to win and Marítimo at 33%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Estoril win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Estoril Win	42%	46%	@ 2.05
Marítimo Win	33%	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	25%	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Estoril or Draw at 1.30 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Estoril or Draw	68%	74%	@ 1.30
Marítimo or Draw	59%	54%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	75%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	67%	50%	@ 1.90
Under 3.5	55%	71%	@ 1.33
Over 3.5	45%	29%	@ 3.25
Under 2.5	33%	50%	@ 1.90
Under 1.5	14%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	36%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Estoril 46%Draw 28%Marítimo 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estoril vs Marítimo?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Estoril vs Marítimo?

Our model makes an Estoril win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline for Estoril vs Marítimo.

What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Marítimo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.07 for Estoril and 1.37 for Marítimo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Estoril and Marítimo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.