⚽ Premier League
Everton vs Coventry Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Everton vs Coventry in the Premier League. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Everton face Coventry in the Premier League, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Everton have 1 win from their last 5, while Coventry have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Everton win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Everton vs Coventry with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Everton vs Coventry comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Everton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (55%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Everton come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Newcastle. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Arsenal.
- WNewcastle 0-1 EvertonPremier League
- WEverton 3-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
- LArsenal 2-0 EvertonPremier League
- LEverton 0-2 ChelseaPremier League
- DHull City 2-2 EvertonPremier League
Coventry come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Newcastle. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Fulham.
- WCoventry 3-1 SunderlandPremier League
- LCoventry 0-1 FulhamPremier League
- LTottenham 3-1 CoventryPremier League
- WCoventry 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
- WNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. GeorgeInjury
- J. GrealishCoach's decision
- A. AmendaCalf Injury
- H. WrightMuscle Injury
- J. EcclesAnkle Injury
- B. ThomasCalf Injury
- L. WoolfendenKnee Injury
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Coventry
Coach: F. Lampard
Everton
Coach: D. Moyes
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Everton at 45% to win and Coventry at 26%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Everton win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton Win | 45% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Coventry Win | 26% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Everton or Draw at 1.18 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton or Draw | 72% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Coventry or Draw | 54% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 | 30% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 55% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
| BTTS Yes | 45% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
📈 How the market moved
🔬 What our models say about this match
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 57% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 53% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 38% |
All three of our models point the same way on the match result.
Expected goals: 1.51 for the home side, 1.11 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Everton vs Coventry?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.
Who is the favourite for Everton vs Coventry?
Our model makes an Everton win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Everton vs Coventry.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Coventry?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Everton and 0.82 for Coventry. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Everton and Coventry play?
Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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