⚽ Premier League
Everton vs Ipswich Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Everton vs Ipswich in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Everton 1-0 Ipswich
Everton vs Ipswich finished 1-0. Everton won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.25, did not land.
Everton face Ipswich in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Everton have 1 win from their last 4, while Ipswich have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Everton won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Everton win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 2.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Everton vs Ipswich with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Everton vs Ipswich comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Everton with a +0.25 start at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates an Everton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Everton and Ipswich. Wins shown from Everton’s perspective: Everton 2 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Everton | 1 – 0 | Ipswich | W |
| 2025-05-03 | Everton | 2 – 2 | Ipswich | D |
| 2024-10-19 | Ipswich | 0 – 2 | Everton | W |
📈 Recent form
Everton come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ipswich.
- WEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
- WEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
- DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League
- DEverton 2-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- DBournemouth 1-1 EvertonPremier League
Ipswich come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.
- LEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
- LIpswich 2-4 ArsenalLeague Cup
- WCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
- LIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
- LManchester United 5-2 IpswichPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. NorgaardInjury
- M. RohlInjury
- A. MatusiwaMuscle Injury
- J. TaylorKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Everton at 55% to win and Ipswich at 18%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Everton win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton Win | 55% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Ipswich Win | 18% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Everton or Draw at 1.20 (80% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton or Draw | 80% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Ipswich or Draw | 43% | 46% | @ 1.95 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Everton or Ipswich is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton +0.75 | 83% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Everton +0.5 | 80% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Ipswich +2 | 77% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Everton +0.25 | 74% | 75% | 1.28 |
| Ipswich +1.75 | 72% | – | 1.27 |
| Everton 0 | 68% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Ipswich +1.5 | 68% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Everton -0.25 | 63% | 61% | 1.56 |
| Ipswich +1.25 | 62% | 65% | 1.48 |
| Everton -0.5 | 57% | 54% | @ 1.79 |
| Ipswich +1 | 56% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Everton -0.75 | 51% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| Ipswich +0.75 | 49% | 53% | 1.84 |
| Everton -1 | 44% | 40% | @ 2.40 |
| Ipswich +0.5 | 43% | 46% | 2.06 |
| Everton -1.25 | 38% | 35% | @ 2.73 |
| Ipswich +0.25 | 37% | 39% | 2.44 |
| Everton -1.5 | 32% | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ipswich 0 | 32% | 29% | @ 3.29 |
| Ipswich -0.25 | 26% | 25% | 3.75 |
| Everton -2 | 23% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Ipswich -0.5 | 20% | 22% | 4.27 |
| Ipswich -0.75 | 17% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Everton vs Ipswich?
Our model's main pick is Everton with a +0.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Everton vs Ipswich?
Our model makes an Everton win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline for Everton vs Ipswich.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Ipswich?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.09 for Everton and 1.13 for Ipswich. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Everton and Ipswich play?
Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


