Wed 4 Nov3-2Finished

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool finished 3-2. Fenerbahçe won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.50, landed.

Fenerbahçe face Liverpool in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Fenerbahçe have 1 win from their last 5, while Liverpool have 3 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.1-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.50

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.07 – 2.40 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	7.5%	9.0%	7.2%	4.3%
1	3.3%	8.0%	9.6%	7.7%	4.6%
2	1.8%	4.3%	5.1%	4.1%	2.5%
3	0.6%	1.5%	1.8%	1.5%	0.9%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-2

Fenerbahçe winDrawLiverpool win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Fenerbahçe 21%Draw 24%Liverpool 55%

21%24%55%

55%

Liverpool Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Alanyaspor. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Göztepe.

WFenerbahçe 3-2 LiverpoolUEFA Champions League
LFenerbahçe 1-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
LGalatasaray 2-1 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
DFenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League
WFenerbahçe 3-0 AlanyasporSüper Lig

Liverpool

Liverpool come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Brighton. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Fenerbahçe.

LFenerbahçe 3-2 LiverpoolUEFA Champions League
LLiverpool 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
DLiverpool 1-1 ChelseaLeague Cup
WLiverpool 2-0 BrightonPremier League
WLiverpool 4-3 VillarrealUEFA Champions League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 15 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fenerbahçe

N. AkeMuscle Injury
M. AsensioKnee Injury
A. DioufOff the roster
A. FallOff the roster
J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
M. YandasOff the roster
K. PeprahInjury

Liverpool

C. BradleyKnee Injury
F. ChiesaOff the roster
H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
W. EndoOff the roster
J. FrimpongMuscle Injury
R. GravenberchHeel Injury
G. LeoniKnee Injury
A. NalloLeg Injury

🧩 Line-ups

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

1Becker

2Gomez

5Jacquet

4van Dijk

21Tsimikas

10Mac Allister

42Nyoni

23Muñoz

8Szoboszlai

73Ngumoha

29Barcola

17Kahveci

9Lukaku

11Greenwood

5Yüksek

91Kanté

6Guendouzi

3Brown

21Peprah Oppong

37Škriniar

27Semedo

31Ederson

Fenerbahçe 4-3-3

Liverpool

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Substitutes28Woodman7Wirtz53McConnell25Mamardashvili67Koumas6Kerkez9Isak18Gakpo76Danns44Chambers33Araújo

Fenerbahçe

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Substitutes45Dorgeles19Muriqi18Müldür77MimoviÄ22Mercan34Günok28Elmaz14Demir13Çetin70Aydın7Aktürkoğlu

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fenerbahçe at 21% to win and Liverpool at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Liverpool Win	55%	65%	@ 1.45
Draw	24%	19%	@ 5.00
Fenerbahçe Win	21%	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Liverpool or Draw at 1.14 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Liverpool or Draw	79%	84%	@ 1.14
Fenerbahçe or Draw	45%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	67%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	54%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	46%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	33%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	14%	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	45%	38%	@ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fenerbahçe or Liverpool is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Liverpool +0.75	82%	86%	1.10
Liverpool +0.5	79%	83%	1.15
Fenerbahçe +2	78%	69%	@ 1.39
Fenerbahçe +1.75	74%	62%	@ 1.54
Liverpool +0.25	73%	81%	1.17
Fenerbahçe +1.5	70%	56%	@ 1.70
Liverpool 0	67%	79%	1.21
Fenerbahçe +1.25	64%	50%	@ 1.93
Liverpool -0.25	61%	72%	1.32
Fenerbahçe +1	57%	44%	@ 2.15
Liverpool -0.5	55%	65%	1.48
Fenerbahçe +0.75	51%	39%	@ 2.44
Liverpool -0.75	49%	61%	1.56
Fenerbahçe +0.5	45%	35%	@ 2.70
Liverpool -1	43%	56%	1.71
Fenerbahçe +0.25	39%	28%	@ 3.38
Liverpool -1.25	36%	50%	1.95
Fenerbahçe 0	33%	21%	@ 4.50
Liverpool -1.5	30%	44%	2.17
Fenerbahçe -0.25	27%	19%	@ 5.00
Liverpool -1.75	26%	38%	2.48
Liverpool -2	22%	31%	3.06
Fenerbahçe -0.5	21%	17%	@ 5.50
Fenerbahçe -0.75	18%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

Fenerbahçe 16%Draw 19%Liverpool 65%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?

Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.4 scoreline for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool.

What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.07 for Fenerbahçe and 2.40 for Liverpool. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fenerbahçe and Liverpool play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 04 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.