⚽ Brazilian Série A

Flamengo vs Mirassol Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Flamengo vs Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Flamengo 2-0 Mirassol

Flamengo vs Mirassol finished 2-0. Flamengo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Flamengo face Mirassol in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Flamengo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Flamengo won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 2.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Flamengo vs Mirassol with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Mirassol +1.75 @ 1.88

70%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.20 – 0.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	4.1%	2.0%	0.6%	0.2%
1	9.2%	9.0%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.2%	9.9%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	7.5%	7.2%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
4	4.1%	4.0%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-0

Flamengo winDrawMirassol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Mirassol with a +1.75 start at odds 1.88, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. On the match result, the model rates a Flamengo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Mirassol with a +1.25 start at odds 2.43 (+42.7% model value).

Best value

Mirassol +1.25 at odds 2.43, 59% model probability, +42.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Flamengo 60%Draw 23%Mirassol 17%

60%23%17%

60%

Flamengo Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+42.7%

Best value: Mirassol +1.25

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Flamengo and Mirassol. Wins shown from Flamengo’s perspective: Flamengo 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-02	Flamengo	2 – 0	Mirassol	W
2026-08-16	Mirassol	1 – 5	Flamengo	W

📈 Recent form

Flamengo

Flamengo come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Mirassol. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Cruzeiro.

WFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
WFlamengo 3-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
LCruzeiro 2-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
WFlamengo 2-1 CruzeiroCONMEBOL Libertadores
WMirassol 1-5 FlamengoBrazilian Série A

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Flamengo.

LFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
DSantos 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DLDU de Quito 0-0 MirassolCONMEBOL Libertadores
LMirassol 1-5 FlamengoBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Flamengo

Alex SandroCalf Injury
VitaoMuscle Injury
N. de la CruzMuscle Injury

Mirassol

Edson CariocaInjury
Jose AldoMuscle Injury
NeguebaKnee Injury
Neto MouraSuspended (cards)
Neto MouraInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Flamengo at 60% to win and Mirassol at 17%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mirassol Win	17%	@ 11.00	+91.0%
Draw	23%	@ 6.00	+38.9%
Flamengo Win	60%	@ 1.23	-26.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mirassol or Draw at 3.90 (40% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mirassol or Draw	40%	@ 3.90	+56.6%
Flamengo or Draw	82%	@ 1.03	-15.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	61%	@ 1.58	-3.7%
Over 1.5	82%	@ 1.15	-5.2%
Under 2.5	39%	@ 2.45	-5.4%
Over 2.5	61%	@ 1.52	-6.7%
Under 1.5	18%	@ 5.25	-8.0%
Over 3.5	39%	@ 2.33	-9.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 2.02	+11.3%
BTTS No	45%	@ 1.70	-23.7%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Flamengo or Mirassol is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mirassol +0.25	35%	@ 5.50	+90.2%
Mirassol +0.75	46%	@ 3.54	+64.1%
Mirassol +1	52%	@ 3.03	+59.2%
Mirassol +0.5	40%	@ 3.88	+55.8%
Mirassol +1.25	59%	@ 2.43	+42.7%
Mirassol +1.5	65%	@ 2.10	+36.2%
Mirassol +1.75	70%	@ 1.88	+30.8%
Mirassol +2	74%	@ 1.63	+20.7%
Flamengo -0.25	65%	1.15	-24.8%
Flamengo -0.5	60%	1.24	-26.0%
Flamengo -0.75	54%	1.30	-30.0%
Flamengo -1	48%	1.37	-34.8%
Flamengo -1.25	41%	1.56	-35.6%
Flamengo -1.75	30%	1.99	-39.4%
Flamengo -1.5	35%	1.71	-40.1%
Flamengo -2	26%	2.26	-41.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

Our main pick is Mirassol with a +1.75 start at odds 1.88, with 70% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Mirassol with a +1.25 start at 2.43 (+42.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline for Flamengo vs Mirassol.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Flamengo and 0.97 for Mirassol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Flamengo and Mirassol play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.