⚽ Brazilian Série A

Flamengo vs Mirassol Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Flamengo vs Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Flamengo face Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Flamengo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 2.3-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Flamengo vs Mirassol with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.57

63%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.31 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	3.6%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	8.9%	8.4%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
2	10.2%	9.7%	4.6%	1.5%	0.3%
3	7.9%	7.5%	3.6%	1.1%	0.3%
4	4.6%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-0

Flamengo winDrawMirassol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a Flamengo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.95 (+7.7% model value).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.95, 55% model probability, +7.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Flamengo 60%Draw 23%Mirassol 17%

60%23%17%

60%

Flamengo Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+7.7%

Best value: BTTS Yes

📈 Recent form

Flamengo

Flamengo come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Mirassol. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Cruzeiro.

LCruzeiro 2-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
WFlamengo 2-1 CruzeiroCONMEBOL Libertadores
WMirassol 1-5 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
DCruzeiro 1-1 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
WFlamengo 2-0 VitoriaBrazilian Série A

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Flamengo.

DSantos 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DLDU de Quito 0-0 MirassolCONMEBOL Libertadores
LMirassol 1-5 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 LDU de QuitoCONMEBOL Libertadores
LCruzeiro 3-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Flamengo at 60% to win and Mirassol at 17%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mirassol Win	17%	@ 9.80	+64.8%
Draw	23%	@ 5.30	+20.4%
Flamengo Win	60%	@ 1.28	-22.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mirassol or Draw at 3.45 (39% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mirassol or Draw	39%	@ 3.45	+35.4%
Flamengo or Draw	83%	@ 1.05	-13.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	41%	@ 2.45	+0.6%
Over 2.5	63%	@ 1.57	-0.7%
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.18	-1.3%
Under 3.5	59%	@ 1.53	-9.8%
Under 2.5	37%	@ 2.35	-13.6%
Under 1.5	16%	@ 4.75	-22.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.95	+7.7%
BTTS No	45%	@ 1.77	-20.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with 63% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.95 (+7.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 2.3-0.9 scoreline for Flamengo vs Mirassol.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.31 for Flamengo and 0.95 for Mirassol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Flamengo and Mirassol play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.