⚽ Premier League
Fulham vs Manchester United Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fulham vs Manchester United in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:30 UTC.
Result: Fulham 1-1 Manchester United
Fulham vs Manchester United finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.57, landed.
Fulham face Manchester United in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:30 UTC. Recent form: Fulham have 0 wins from their last 4, while Manchester United have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Manchester United won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Manchester United win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fulham vs Manchester United with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Fulham vs Manchester United comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Fulham with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Manchester United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Fulham and Manchester United. Wins shown from Fulham’s perspective: 2 drawn · Manchester United 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham | 1 – 1 | Manchester United | D |
| 2026-02-01 | Manchester United | 3 – 2 | Fulham | L |
| 2025-08-24 | Fulham | 1 – 1 | Manchester United | D |
| 2025-01-26 | Fulham | 0 – 1 | Manchester United | L |
| 2024-08-16 | Manchester United | 1 – 0 | Fulham | L |
📈 Recent form
Fulham come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at West Ham. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Crystal Palace.
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- WWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
- DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
- LFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League
- LSunderland 1-0 FulhamPremier League
Manchester United come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Sabah FA. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Brighton.
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- LManchester United 2-3 BrightonLeague Cup
- LManchester United 0-1 Manchester CityPremier League
- WManchester United 4-0 Sabah FAUEFA Champions League
- DEverton 2-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. CairneyKnee Injury
- K. TeteConcussion
- A. DialloInjury
- T. HeatonInjury
- B. SeskoNot in squad
- M. UgarteKnee Injury
- M. de LigtBack Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fulham at 32% to win and Manchester United at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Manchester United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United Win | 42% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Fulham Win | 32% | 27% | @ 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Manchester United or Draw at 1.28 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United or Draw | 68% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Fulham or Draw | 58% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fulham or Manchester United is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United +1.5 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Fulham +2 | 86% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Fulham +1.75 | 83% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| Manchester United +1.25 | 82% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Fulham +1.5 | 80% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Manchester United +1 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Fulham +1.25 | 74% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| Manchester United +0.75 | 73% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Fulham +1 | 69% | 66% | @ 1.46 |
| Manchester United +0.5 | 68% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Fulham +0.75 | 63% | 58% | @ 1.66 |
| Manchester United +0.25 | 62% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Fulham +0.5 | 58% | 52% | @ 1.88 |
| Manchester United 0 | 55% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Fulham +0.25 | 51% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Manchester United -0.25 | 49% | 55% | 1.74 |
| Fulham 0 | 45% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Manchester United -0.5 | 42% | 48% | 2.01 |
| Fulham -0.25 | 38% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| Manchester United -0.75 | 37% | 42% | 2.27 |
| Fulham -0.5 | 32% | 27% | @ 3.48 |
| Manchester United -1 | 31% | 34% | 2.77 |
| Fulham -0.75 | 27% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Manchester United -1.25 | 26% | 31% | 3.12 |
| Fulham -1 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Manchester United -1.5 | 20% | 28% | 3.46 |
| Fulham -1.25 | 18% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Manchester United -1.75 | 17% | 23% | 4.10 |
| Manchester United -2 | 14% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Fulham -1.5 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fulham vs Manchester United?
Our model's main pick is Fulham with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Manchester United?
Our model makes a Manchester United win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for Fulham vs Manchester United.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Manchester United?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Fulham and 1.53 for Manchester United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fulham and Manchester United play?
Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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