⚽ Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fulham vs Newcastle in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Fulham face Newcastle in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Fulham have 2 wins from their last 5, while Newcastle have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Fulham won 3, Newcastle won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fulham vs Newcastle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Fulham or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fulham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Fulham and Newcastle. Wins shown from Fulham’s perspective: Fulham 3 · Newcastle 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Fulham | 2 – 0 | Newcastle | W |
| 2025-10-25 | Newcastle | 2 – 1 | Fulham | L |
| 2025-02-01 | Newcastle | 1 – 2 | Fulham | W |
| 2024-09-21 | Fulham | 3 – 1 | Newcastle | W |
| 2024-04-06 | Fulham | 0 – 1 | Newcastle | L |
📈 Recent form
Fulham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Coventry. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Crystal Palace.
- DAston Villa 1-1 FulhamPremier League
- LFulham 0-1 Crystal PalaceLeague Cup
- WCoventry 0-1 FulhamPremier League
- WFulham 1-0 Hull CityPremier League
- LIpswich 2-1 FulhamPremier League
Newcastle come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Everton.
- LNewcastle 0-1 EvertonPremier League
- LEverton 3-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
- WCrystal Palace 0-2 NewcastlePremier League
- LNewcastle 0-1 Aston VillaPremier League
- LCoventry 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Newcastle
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: M. Jaissle
Fulham
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fulham at 39% to win and Newcastle at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham Win | 39% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Newcastle Win | 32% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fulham or Draw at 1.30 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham or Draw | 67% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Newcastle or Draw | 60% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Our model's pick is Fulham or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Fulham vs Newcastle.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Fulham and 1.42 for Newcastle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fulham and Newcastle play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.