Fri 6 Nov17:00Upcoming

⚽ Süper Lig

Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Gaziantep FK face Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Gaziantep FK have no wins from their last 5, while Kasımpaşa have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Kasımpaşa win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.1-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.05 – 1.78 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	10.5%	9.3%	5.5%	2.5%
1	6.2%	11.0%	9.8%	5.8%	2.6%
2	3.3%	5.8%	5.2%	3.1%	1.4%
3	1.1%	2.0%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Gaziantep FK winDrawKasımpaşa win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Kasımpaşa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Gaziantep FK 23%Draw 22%Kasımpaşa 55%

23%22%55%

55%

Kasımpaşa Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Gaziantep FK

Gaziantep FK come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Etimesgut SK. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Trabzonspor.

LTrabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
WEtimesgut SK 0-4 Gaziantep FKTürkiye Kupası
LGaziantep FK 1-3 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
LBaşakşehir 2-1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
LGaziantep FK 0-3 Çorum FKSüper Lig

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Samsunspor. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Galatasaray.

DKasımpaşa 2-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WKasımpaşa 3-1 Çorluspor 1947Türkiye Kupası
WEyüpspor 0-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
WKasımpaşa 4-1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LGalatasaray 3-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Gaziantep FK

F. BavukHamstring Injury
N. SangareBack Injury
S. DursunNot in squad
S. HansenNot in squad
A. KizildagNot in squad
U. MelekeInjury
O. OzcicekNot in squad
K. TobiaszNot in squad

Kasımpaşa

K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury
G. FrimpongInjury
F. DiabateNot in squad
A. KarapoInjury
K. MouangaNot in squad
M. OuanesMuscle Injury

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Kasımpaşa 4-1-4-1

1Gianniotis

2Winck

4Arous

27Ilie

45Karapo

26Demirbay

17Rak-Sakyi

10Hajradinovic

51Mendes

7Kol

9Benedyczak

9Stewart

10Kozlowski

3Camara

18Sorescu

7Bacuna

8Gidado

23Calhanoglu

21Sylla

5Sarikaya

2Perez

35Dadakdeniz

Gaziantep FK 4-2-3-1

Kasımpaşa

Last starting XI (4-1-4-1) vs Beşiktaş, 01/11

Coach: Emre Belozoglu

Bench last match25Yanar18Bayram5Jessen30Dagbasi8Mujde66Boz19Rafferty11Diarra35Deniz50Yalcin

Gaziantep FK

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Trabzonspor, 01/11

Coach: Orhan Ak

Bench last match81Aslan77Destici79Taskiran44Maxim17Gassama83Mujdeci93Genc28Dervisoglu11Cihan46Kalin

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gaziantep FK at 23% to win and Kasımpaşa at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Kasımpaşa win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kasımpaşa Win	55%	34%	@ 2.70
Gaziantep FK Win	23%	38%	@ 2.45
Draw	22%	28%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kasımpaşa or Draw at 1.53 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kasımpaşa or Draw	78%	62%	@ 1.53
Gaziantep FK or Draw	46%	66%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	68%	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	54%	51%	@ 1.85
Under 2.5	46%	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	32%	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	23%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	47%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Gaziantep FK 37%Draw 28%Kasımpaşa 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	47%
Dixon-Coles	Away	63%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 0.99 for the home side, 1.70 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

Our model makes a Kasımpaşa win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa.

What is the predicted score for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.05 for Gaziantep FK and 1.78 for Kasımpaşa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa play?

Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.