Sat 19 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Primeira Liga

Gil Vicente vs Marítimo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gil Vicente vs Marítimo in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Gil Vicente 1-1 Marítimo

Gil Vicente vs Marítimo finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.44, landed.

Gil Vicente face Marítimo in the upcoming Primeira Liga tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Gil Vicente have 2 wins from their last 5, while Marítimo have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Gil Vicente win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gil Vicente vs Marítimo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Marítimo +1.5 @ 1.27

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	8.0%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.5%	12.1%	7.0%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.2%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.0%	4.6%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Gil Vicente winDrawMarítimo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs Marítimo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Marítimo with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Gil Vicente win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Gil Vicente 41%Draw 30%Marítimo 29%

41%30%29%

41%

Gil Vicente Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Casa Pia. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Benfica.

DGil Vicente 1-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
LBenfica 3-1 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
LGil Vicente 0-1 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
DFamalicão 0-0 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
WGil Vicente 2-0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga

Marítimo

Marítimo come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Moreirense.

DGil Vicente 1-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
LMoreirense 3-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
LMarítimo 0-3 BenficaPrimeira Liga
LArouca 2-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
DMarítimo 2-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gil Vicente at 41% to win and Marítimo at 29%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Gil Vicente win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Gil Vicente Win	41%	49%	@ 1.90
Draw	30%	28%	@ 3.40
Marítimo Win	29%	23%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gil Vicente or Draw at 1.22 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Gil Vicente or Draw	69%	77%	@ 1.22
Marítimo or Draw	58%	51%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	66%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	72%	77%	@ 1.22
Under 2.5	50%	58%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	50%	42%	@ 2.25
Over 3.5	28%	23%	@ 4.00
Under 1.5	25%	34%	@ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	47%	@ 2.00
BTTS No	47%	53%	@ 1.75

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Gil Vicente or Marítimo is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Marítimo +2	86%	86%	1.10
Marítimo +1.75	83%	79%	1.19
Marítimo +1.5	80%	74%	@ 1.27
Gil Vicente +1	78%	86%	1.10
Marítimo +1.25	74%	71%	1.34
Gil Vicente +0.75	73%	83%	1.15
Gil Vicente +0.5	69%	77%	1.24
Marítimo +1	69%	66%	1.43
Marítimo +0.75	63%	57%	@ 1.67
Gil Vicente +0.25	62%	74%	1.29
Marítimo +0.5	58%	50%	@ 1.93
Gil Vicente 0	56%	69%	1.39
Marítimo +0.25	51%	42%	@ 2.27
Gil Vicente -0.25	49%	58%	1.65
Marítimo 0	44%	31%	@ 3.04
Gil Vicente -0.5	42%	50%	1.93
Marítimo -0.25	38%	26%	@ 3.59
Gil Vicente -0.75	37%	43%	2.23
Gil Vicente -1	31%	34%	2.83
Marítimo -0.5	31%	23%	@ 4.08
Marítimo -0.75	27%	17%	@ 5.50
Gil Vicente -1.25	26%	29%	3.24
Marítimo -1	22%	14%	@ 7.00
Gil Vicente -1.5	20%	26%	3.70
Gil Vicente -1.75	17%	21%	4.50
Gil Vicente -2	14%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Gil Vicente 50%Draw 28%Marítimo 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gil Vicente vs Marítimo?

Our model's main pick is Marítimo with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Gil Vicente vs Marítimo?

Our model makes a Gil Vicente win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Gil Vicente vs Marítimo.

What is the predicted score for Gil Vicente vs Marítimo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Gil Vicente and 1.16 for Marítimo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gil Vicente and Marítimo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.