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⚽ Premier League

Ipswich vs Bournemouth Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ipswich vs Bournemouth in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Ipswich face Bournemouth in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Ipswich have 1 win from their last 5, while Bournemouth have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Ipswich won 1, Bournemouth won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.4-2.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ipswich vs Bournemouth with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Bournemouth or Draw @ 1.25
82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 2.28 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.6% 6.0% 6.8% 5.2% 3.0%
1 3.6% 8.1% 9.3% 7.1% 4.0%
2 2.4% 5.5% 6.3% 4.8% 2.7%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.2% 1.2%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-2
Ipswich winDrawBournemouth win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Ipswich vs Bournemouth comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Bournemouth or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bournemouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Ipswich 17%Draw 25%Bournemouth 58%
17%25%58%
58%
Bournemouth Win
70%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Ipswich and Bournemouth. Wins shown from Ipswich’s perspective: Ipswich 1 · Bournemouth 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2025-04-02 Bournemouth 1 – 2 Ipswich W
2024-12-08 Ipswich 1 – 2 Bournemouth L

📈 Recent form

Ipswich

Ipswich come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Fulham. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Manchester City.

  • DHull City 2-2 IpswichPremier League
  • DIpswich 1-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
  • LManchester City 3-2 IpswichPremier League
  • WIpswich 2-1 FulhamPremier League
  • LEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 0. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Aston Villa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WBournemouth 2-0 LeedsPremier League
  • WBournemouth 3-0 Aston VillaLeague Cup
  • WManchester United 0-3 BournemouthPremier League
  • WBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanUEFA Europa League
  • WBournemouth 2-0 SunderlandPremier League

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
1Petrović
15Smith
5Hill
14Silva
3Truffert
12Adams
10Christie
37Rayan
19Kluivert
16Tavernier
9Evanilson
19Emersonn
11Philogene-Bidace
10Enciso
7Issahaku
12Luís
25Palacios
3Davis
26O'Shea
6Diop
42Ouattara
28Walton
Ipswich 4-2-3-1

Bournemouth

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Leeds, 31/10

Coach: M. Rose

Bench last match7Brooks4Cook18Diakité20Di Gregorio21Adli11Doak22Kroupi30Rodríguez6Soler

Ipswich

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Nottingham Forest, 23/10

Coach: G. O'Neil

Bench last match9Flemming47Clarke38Maeda5Matusiwa29Akpom37Scherpen2Furlong24Greaves32Núñez

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ipswich at 17% to win and Bournemouth at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bournemouth Win 58% 50% @ 1.91
Draw 25% 25% @ 3.75
Ipswich Win 17% 25% @ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.25 (82% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bournemouth or Draw 82% 75% @ 1.25
Ipswich or Draw 41% 50% @ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 88% 78% @ 1.22
Over 2.5 70% 57% @ 1.67
Under 3.5 51% 66% @ 1.44
Over 3.5 49% 34% @ 2.75
Under 2.5 30% 43% @ 2.20
Under 1.5 12% 22% @ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 67% 58% @ 1.62
BTTS No 33% 42% @ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

20%37%54%11/0311/0411/0511/06

Ipswich 25%Draw 25%Bournemouth 50%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Bournemouth?

Our model's pick is Bournemouth or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Bournemouth?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.3 scoreline for Ipswich vs Bournemouth.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Bournemouth?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Ipswich and 2.28 for Bournemouth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ipswich and Bournemouth play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.