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⚽ Premier League

Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leeds vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Leeds face Tottenham in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Leeds have no wins from their last 5, while Tottenham have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Tottenham won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leeds vs Tottenham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.53 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.9%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.3%	12.0%	7.0%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.2%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.0%	4.7%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.8%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Leeds winDrawTottenham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Leeds vs Tottenham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Leeds win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Leeds 44%Draw 29%Tottenham 26%

44%29%26%

44%

Leeds Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Leeds and Tottenham. Wins shown from Leeds’s perspective: 1 drawn · Tottenham 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-11	Tottenham	1 – 1	Leeds	D
2025-10-04	Leeds	1 – 2	Tottenham	L

📈 Recent form

Leeds

Leeds come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bournemouth.

LBournemouth 2-0 LeedsPremier League
DSunderland 0-0 LeedsPremier League
DLeeds 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
LArsenal 2-1 LeedsPremier League
DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League

Tottenham

Tottenham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Crystal Palace. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Aston Villa.

WTottenham 2-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WChelsea 0-2 TottenhamPremier League
WTottenham 3-1 CoventryPremier League
DManchester United 1-1 TottenhamPremier League
LTottenham 2-3 Aston VillaPremier League

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Tottenham 4-2-3-1

31Kinský

14Gray

6van Hecke

37van de Ven

3Robertson

16Tonali

18Fernandes

20Kudus

22Marmoush

11Tel

19Solanke

9Calvert-Lewin

7James

10Wilson

3Gudmundsson

22Tanaka

4Ampadu

2Bogle

5Muharemović

30Elvedi

24Justin

1Trafford

Leeds 3-4-2-1

Tottenham

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Crystal Palace, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Bench last match68Williams-Barnett10Maddison21Kulusevski8Gallagher33Davies13Udogie23Porro5Senesi39Dúbravka

Leeds

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs Bournemouth, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: D. Farke

Bench last match11Aaronson23Bahoya26Bard15Bijol44Gruev8Longstaff14Nmecha18Stach16Zetterer

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Leeds at 44% to win and Tottenham at 26%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Leeds Win	44%	34%	@ 2.75
Draw	29%	29%	@ 3.30
Tottenham Win	26%	37%	@ 2.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Leeds or Draw at 1.50 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Leeds or Draw	72%	63%	@ 1.50
Tottenham or Draw	54%	66%	@ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	51%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	49%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	29%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	25%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	46%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

Leeds 34%Draw 29%Tottenham 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Tottenham?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Leeds vs Tottenham?

Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Leeds vs Tottenham.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Tottenham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.53 for Leeds and 1.17 for Tottenham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leeds and Tottenham play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.