Sat 19 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Championship

Millwall vs West Ham Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Millwall vs West Ham in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Millwall 2-2 West Ham

Millwall vs West Ham finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.62, did not land.

Millwall face West Ham in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Millwall have 2 wins from their last 5, while West Ham have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Millwall win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Millwall vs West Ham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Millwall +1.75 @ 1.27

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.35 – 1.61 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	8.3%	6.7%	3.6%	1.5%
1	7.0%	11.3%	9.1%	4.9%	2.0%
2	4.7%	7.6%	6.1%	3.3%	1.3%
3	2.1%	3.4%	2.8%	1.5%	0.6%
4	0.7%	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Millwall winDrawWest Ham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Millwall vs West Ham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Millwall with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 88%. On the match result, the model rates a Millwall win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Millwall 40%Draw 25%West Ham 35%

40%25%35%

40%

Millwall Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Millwall

Millwall come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Bolton. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Blackburn.

DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
LBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
LMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
WMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship

West Ham

West Ham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Wrexham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Fulham.

DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
LWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
WWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
WBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
WWest Ham 3-0 DerbyChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Millwall

J. CoburnMuscle Injury
T. CramaAnkle Injury
C. De NorreInjury
R. EsseAnkle Injury
M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
L. JensenInjury
R. LeonardHamstring Injury
M. LuongoKnee Injury

West Ham

A. AreolaCalf Injury
T. SoucekAnkle Injury
J. VeltmanInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Millwall at 40% to win and West Ham at 35%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Millwall win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Millwall Win	40%	24%	@ 4.00
West Ham Win	35%	52%	@ 1.80
Draw	25%	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Millwall or Draw at 1.95 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Millwall or Draw	66%	48%	@ 1.95
West Ham or Draw	61%	76%	@ 1.22

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	66%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	57%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	43%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	34%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	20%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Millwall or West Ham is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Millwall +2	90%	82%	@ 1.16
Millwall +1.75	88%	75%	@ 1.27
Millwall +1.5	85%	69%	@ 1.39
Millwall +1.25	80%	65%	@ 1.46
Millwall +1	76%	60%	@ 1.58
Millwall +0.75	71%	53%	@ 1.83
West Ham +0.75	66%	81%	1.17
Millwall +0.5	66%	47%	@ 2.06
West Ham +0.5	61%	77%	1.25
Millwall +0.25	59%	39%	@ 2.42
West Ham +0.25	54%	–	1.29
Millwall 0	53%	30%	@ 3.17
West Ham 0	47%	70%	1.36
West Ham -0.25	41%	61%	1.57
Millwall -0.5	39%	23%	@ 4.06
West Ham -0.5	34%	53%	1.81
Millwall -0.75	34%	19%	@ 5.00
West Ham -0.75	29%	47%	2.03
West Ham -1	24%	40%	2.40
West Ham -1.25	20%	35%	2.73
West Ham -1.5	15%	31%	3.06
West Ham -1.75	12%	25%	3.79
West Ham -2	10%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Millwall 23%Draw 25%West Ham 53%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millwall vs West Ham?

Our model's main pick is Millwall with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Millwall vs West Ham?

Our model makes a Millwall win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline for Millwall vs West Ham.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs West Ham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Millwall and 1.61 for West Ham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Millwall and West Ham play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.