⚽ Major League Soccer
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Nashville SC 3-2 Columbus Crew
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew finished 3-2. Nashville SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Nashville SC face Columbus Crew in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, Columbus Crew won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Columbus Crew with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and Columbus Crew. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: Nashville SC 2 · 1 drawn · Columbus Crew 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Nashville SC | 3 – 2 | Columbus Crew | W |
| 2024-07-03 | Columbus Crew | 2 – 0 | Nashville SC | L |
| 2024-03-31 | Nashville SC | 2 – 2 | Columbus Crew | D |
| 2023-06-24 | Columbus Crew | 2 – 0 | Nashville SC | L |
| 2023-05-29 | Nashville SC | 3 – 1 | Columbus Crew | W |
📈 Recent form
Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.
- WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Columbus Crew come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Colorado Rapids. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.
- WCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
- LColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. ApplewhiteLower-Body Injury
- W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury
- W. Abou AliKnee Injury
- S. BangouraAnkle Injury
- R. CamachoSuspended (cards)
- J. ThiareLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nashville SC at 40% to win and Columbus Crew at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC Win | 40% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Columbus Crew Win | 32% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.19 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or Draw | 67% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Columbus Crew or Draw | 59% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 43% | @ 2.17 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 22% | @ 4.35 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 57% | @ 1.63 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 43% | @ 2.14 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nashville SC or Columbus Crew is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew +2 | 87% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Columbus Crew +1.75 | 84% | – | @ 1.31 |
| Columbus Crew +1.5 | 81% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| Columbus Crew +1.25 | 76% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| Nashville SC +0.75 | 72% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Columbus Crew +1 | 70% | 56% | @ 1.71 |
| Nashville SC +0.5 | 67% | – | 1.19 |
| Columbus Crew +0.75 | 65% | 49% | @ 1.99 |
| Nashville SC +0.25 | 60% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Columbus Crew +0.5 | 59% | 43% | @ 2.19 |
| Nashville SC 0 | 54% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Columbus Crew +0.25 | 53% | 35% | @ 2.74 |
| Nashville SC -0.25 | 47% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Columbus Crew 0 | 46% | 26% | @ 3.69 |
| Nashville SC -0.5 | 41% | 57% | 1.66 |
| Columbus Crew -0.25 | 40% | 22% | @ 4.27 |
| Nashville SC -0.75 | 35% | 51% | 1.87 |
| Nashville SC -1 | 30% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Columbus Crew -0.75 | 28% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Nashville SC -1.25 | 24% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Nashville SC -1.5 | 19% | 34% | 2.81 |
| Nashville SC -2 | 13% | 21% | 4.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?
Our model's main pick is Columbus Crew with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?
Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.69 for Nashville SC and 1.38 for Columbus Crew. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nashville SC and Columbus Crew play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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