⚽ Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Nashville SC face Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Nashville SC won 1, Columbus Crew won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Columbus Crew or Draw @ 2.05

62%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 1.51 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.9%	7.4%	5.6%	2.8%	1.1%
1	7.4%	11.1%	8.4%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.4%	6.3%	3.2%	1.2%
3	2.8%	4.2%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Nashville SC winDrawColumbus Crew win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Columbus Crew or Draw at odds 2.05, the selection our model is most confident in at 62%. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Best value

Columbus Crew or Draw at odds 2.05, 62% model probability, +27.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Nashville SC 37%Draw 29%Columbus Crew 34%

37%29%34%

37%

Nashville SC Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

+27.1%

Best value: Columbus Crew or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Nashville SC and Columbus Crew. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: Nashville SC 1 · 1 drawn · Columbus Crew 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-07-03	Columbus Crew	2 – 0	Nashville SC	L
2024-03-31	Nashville SC	2 – 2	Columbus Crew	D
2023-06-24	Columbus Crew	2 – 0	Nashville SC	L
2023-05-29	Nashville SC	3 – 1	Columbus Crew	W

📈 Recent form

Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Inter Miami. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Monterrey.

WNew York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 4-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
LMonterrey 2-1 Nashville SCLeagues Cup
DDC United 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
LOrlando City SC 1-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Atlas. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to CF Montreal.

LColumbus Crew 1-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
LCharlotte 3-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
DColumbus Crew 1-1 U.N.A.M. – PumasLeagues Cup
WColumbus Crew 2-1 CF PachucaLeagues Cup
WColumbus Crew 3-1 AtlasLeagues Cup

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Nashville SC

C. ApplewhiteLower-Body Injury
W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury

Columbus Crew

W. Abou AliKnee Injury
S. BangouraAnkle Injury
R. CamachoSuspended (cards)
J. ThiareLeg Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nashville SC at 37% to win and Columbus Crew at 34%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Columbus Crew Win	34%	@ 4.33	+48.7%
Draw	29%	@ 3.85	+11.1%
Nashville SC Win	37%	@ 1.73	-36.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Columbus Crew or Draw at 2.05 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Columbus Crew or Draw	62%	@ 2.05	+27.1%
Nashville SC or Draw	64%	@ 1.20	-22.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	80%	@ 1.20	-3.5%
Over 2.5	58%	@ 1.65	-4.1%
Under 3.5	64%	@ 1.48	-4.9%
Over 3.5	36%	@ 2.62	-6.4%
Under 2.5	42%	@ 2.20	-7.9%
Under 1.5	20%	@ 4.33	-15.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	61%	@ 1.62	-1.5%
BTTS No	39%	@ 2.15	-15.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	39%
Dixon-Coles	Home	39%
GradientBoosting	Home	36%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.32 for the home side, 1.27 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Our main pick is Columbus Crew or Draw at odds 2.05, with 62% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Nashville SC and 1.51 for Columbus Crew. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nashville SC and Columbus Crew play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.