Sat 19 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Premier League

Newcastle vs Hull City Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Newcastle vs Hull City in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Newcastle 2-1 Hull City

Newcastle vs Hull City finished 2-1. Newcastle won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.62, landed.

Newcastle face Hull City in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Newcastle have 1 win from their last 3, while Hull City have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Newcastle win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Newcastle vs Hull City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Hull City +2 @ 1.25

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.11 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	4.2%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
1	6.6%	8.9%	6.1%	2.8%	0.9%
2	6.9%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.9%	6.6%	4.5%	2.0%	0.7%
4	2.6%	3.5%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Newcastle winDrawHull City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Newcastle vs Hull City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a Newcastle win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Newcastle 46%Draw 26%Hull City 28%

46%26%28%

46%

Newcastle Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Newcastle

Newcastle come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Tottenham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Leeds.

WNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
LLeeds 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
WMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
DNewcastle 2-2 BournemouthPremier League
WTottenham 0-2 NewcastlePremier League

Hull City

Hull City come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Coventry. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Newcastle.

LNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
LSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
DHull City 0-0 Aston VillaPremier League
WCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Newcastle

D. BurnAnkle Injury
A. DedicInjury
A. ElangaKnee Injury
E. JaouenAnkle Injury
JoelintonThigh Injury
NicoInjury
W. OsulaInjury
J. RamseyInjury

Hull City

I. AnsahBack Injury
J. ButlandArm Injury
D. GyabiGroin Injury
C. HughesGroin Injury
E. MatazoKnee Injury
N. MendyInjury
H. MoritaCalf Injury
M. TargettAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Newcastle at 46% to win and Hull City at 28%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Newcastle win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Newcastle Win	46%	59%	@ 1.60
Hull City Win	28%	19%	@ 5.00
Draw	26%	22%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Newcastle or Draw at 1.17 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Newcastle or Draw	72%	81%	@ 1.17
Hull City or Draw	54%	41%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	67%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	54%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	46%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 2.5	33%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	14%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	35%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Newcastle or Hull City is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hull City +2	84%	76%	@ 1.25
Hull City +1.75	81%	69%	@ 1.40
Hull City +1.5	77%	63%	@ 1.52
Newcastle +0.75	76%	85%	1.12
Hull City +1.25	72%	58%	@ 1.65
Newcastle +0.5	72%	80%	1.18
Hull City +1	66%	52%	@ 1.85
Newcastle +0.25	65%	78%	1.21
Hull City +0.75	60%	45%	@ 2.12
Newcastle 0	59%	76%	1.27
Hull City +0.5	54%	40%	@ 2.37
Newcastle -0.25	52%	67%	1.43
Hull City +0.25	48%	33%	@ 2.85
Newcastle -0.5	46%	60%	1.60
Hull City 0	41%	24%	@ 4.08
Newcastle -0.75	40%	55%	1.74
Hull City -0.25	35%	22%	@ 4.25
Newcastle -1	34%	48%	2.02
Hull City -0.5	28%	20%	@ 4.80
Newcastle -1.25	28%	42%	2.27
Hull City -0.75	24%	15%	@ 6.40
Newcastle -1.5	23%	37%	2.54
Newcastle -1.75	19%	31%	3.10
Newcastle -2	16%	24%	4.00

📈 How the market moved

Newcastle 59%Draw 22%Hull City 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Hull City?

Our model's main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Newcastle vs Hull City?

Our model makes a Newcastle win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline for Newcastle vs Hull City.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Hull City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.11 for Newcastle and 1.36 for Hull City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Newcastle and Hull City play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.