Sat 19 Sep0-1Finished

⚽ Premier League

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry finished 0-1. Coventry won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.25, did not land.

Nottingham Forest face Coventry in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Nottingham Forest have 1 win from their last 4, while Coventry have 0 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nottingham Forest win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Coventry +1.75 @ 1.33

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.41 – 1.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	8.7%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
1	9.5%	12.2%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.7%	8.6%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.1%	4.1%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.1%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Nottingham Forest winDrawCoventry win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Coventry with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a Nottingham Forest win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Nottingham Forest 44%Draw 25%Coventry 30%

44%25%30%

44%

Nottingham Forest Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Aston Villa. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Coventry.

LNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
WAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
DNottingham Forest 0-0 TottenhamPremier League
DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
LNottingham Forest 0-2 LeedsLeague Cup

Coventry

Coventry come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Nottingham Forest. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Aston Villa.

WNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
LCoventry 1-3 Aston VillaLeague Cup
LCoventry 0-5 BrightonPremier League
LManchester City 1-0 CoventryPremier League
LCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Nottingham Forest

N. MilenkovicMuscle Injury
N. SavonaKnee Injury

Coventry

A. AmendaCalf Injury
T. AwoniyiSuspended (red card)
J. EcclesInjury
K. Kesler-HaydenMuscle Injury
L. WoolfendenKnee Injury
H. WrightMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nottingham Forest at 44% to win and Coventry at 30%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Nottingham Forest win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nottingham Forest Win	44%	58%	@ 1.62
Coventry Win	30%	18%	@ 5.25
Draw	25%	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nottingham Forest or Draw at 1.14 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nottingham Forest or Draw	70%	82%	@ 1.14
Coventry or Draw	56%	42%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	76%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	71%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	51%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	49%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	29%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	25%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	45%	48%	@ 1.95

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nottingham Forest or Coventry is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Coventry +2	85%	–	@ 1.22
Coventry +1.75	82%	–	@ 1.33
Coventry +1.5	79%	65%	@ 1.46
Nottingham Forest +0.75	74%	86%	1.10
Coventry +1.25	73%	61%	@ 1.58
Nottingham Forest +0.5	70%	82%	1.16
Coventry +1	67%	54%	@ 1.77
Nottingham Forest +0.25	63%	80%	1.20
Coventry +0.75	62%	47%	@ 2.06
Nottingham Forest 0	57%	77%	1.24
Coventry +0.5	56%	41%	@ 2.33
Nottingham Forest -0.25	50%	67%	1.43
Coventry +0.25	50%	33%	@ 2.88
Nottingham Forest -0.5	44%	59%	1.62
Coventry 0	43%	23%	@ 4.16
Nottingham Forest -0.75	38%	53%	1.80
Coventry -0.25	37%	20%	@ 4.67
Nottingham Forest -1	33%	46%	2.12
Coventry -0.5	30%	18%	@ 5.25
Nottingham Forest -1.25	27%	39%	2.44
Coventry -0.75	26%	14%	@ 7.00
Nottingham Forest -1.5	21%	35%	2.77

📈 How the market moved

Nottingham Forest 58%Draw 24%Coventry 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

Our model's main pick is Coventry with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

Our model makes a Nottingham Forest win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Nottingham Forest and 1.29 for Coventry. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nottingham Forest and Coventry play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.