⚽ Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Nottingham Forest face Manchester City in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Nottingham Forest have no wins from their last 5, while Manchester City have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, Manchester City won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Manchester City win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.0-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Manchester City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City. Wins shown from Nottingham Forest’s perspective: Nottingham Forest 1 · 1 drawn · Manchester City 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Manchester City | 2 – 2 | Nottingham Forest | D |
| 2025-12-27 | Nottingham Forest | 1 – 2 | Manchester City | L |
| 2025-03-08 | Nottingham Forest | 1 – 0 | Manchester City | W |
| 2024-12-04 | Manchester City | 3 – 0 | Nottingham Forest | L |
| 2024-04-28 | Nottingham Forest | 0 – 2 | Manchester City | L |
📈 Recent form
Nottingham Forest come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Brentford.
- LBrentford 2-0 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- DIpswich 1-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- LNottingham Forest 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
- LCrystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- LNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
Manchester City come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to AEK Athens FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Brighton.
- WRB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester CityUEFA Champions League
- LManchester City 0-1 BrightonPremier League
- DManchester City 2-2 BrightonLeague Cup
- LAston Villa 2-1 Manchester CityPremier League
- WManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Manchester City
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: E. Maresca
Nottingham Forest
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: O. Glasner
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nottingham Forest at 19% to win and Manchester City at 58%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Manchester City win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City Win | 58% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | @ 3.90 |
| Nottingham Forest Win | 19% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Manchester City or Draw at 1.18 (81% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City or Draw | 81% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Nottingham Forest or Draw | 42% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.
Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our model makes a Manchester City win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 1.00 for Nottingham Forest and 1.75 for Manchester City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nottingham Forest and Manchester City play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.